TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,248,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,248,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4947…eeafbacked Yes0c2,404,470$4,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,660.8850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c0…9b1bbacked Yes0c48,932$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9250…03debacked Yes0c48,513$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf4…08edbacked Yes0c48,365$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x921f…3e94backed Yes0c48,346$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3306…22d9backed Yes0c48,216$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3a…41ebbacked Yes0c47,832$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97c…19d3backed Yes0c47,782$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbff…42a3backed Yes0c47,749$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…3a99backed Yes0c47,681$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595b…11acbacked Yes0c47,544$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes0c40,436$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.44240%0 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes1c31,511$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.552133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-88.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes0c28,223$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.454318.6%8 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1f4…e758backed Yes0c24,965$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0d…5844backed Yes0c24,951$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe376…e4a6backed Yes0c24,915$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x270e…9197backed Yes0c24,859$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc2…1e2fbacked Yes0c24,795$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ee…0cc0backed Yes0c24,653$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8a…61f3backed Yes0c24,615$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5d…d948backed Yes0c24,547$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4988…b47bbacked Yes0c24,466$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeae…d1aebacked Yes0c24,466$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b7…0de7backed Yes0c24,466$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa185…738abacked Yes0c24,466$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52fc…f7acbacked Yes0c24,466$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd83c…dbadbacked Yes0c24,466$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6866…8ef1backed Yes0c24,466$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c1b…3d68backed Yes0c24,466$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf125…4d1dbacked Yes0c24,459$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8404…7a75backed Yes0c24,423$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5f…e9f6backed Yes0c24,382$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2660…c2e6backed Yes0c24,335$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8971…5a65backed Yes0c24,256$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1a…0b58backed Yes0c24,218$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb508…6751backed Yes0c24,152$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x178f…8c00backed Yes0c24,070$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f2…785dbacked Yes0c24,015$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c7…5068backed Yes0c23,954$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbef7…a8c5backed Yes0c23,907$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8b…a0e8backed Yes0c23,783$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…fd47backed Yes0c23,721$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79f6…6fbabacked Yes0c23,644$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a9…13aebacked Yes0c23,614$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2bc…a9bfbacked Yes0c23,579$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b33…b546backed Yes0c23,524$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f9…70b6backed Yes0c23,445$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc176…b831backed Yes0c23,411$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2df1…0d63backed Yes0c23,355$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e76…2af9backed Yes0c23,263$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb217…4aa4backed Yes0c23,181$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a1…b745backed Yes0c23,103$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…5298backed Yes0c22,988$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e49…a4babacked Yes0c22,939$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bd…e50abacked Yes0c22,888$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f3…6724backed Yes0c22,814$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f1…b9bdbacked Yes0c22,772$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeca…09c7backed Yes1c22,719$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebea…9caebacked Yes0c22,716$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…e654backed Yes0c22,669$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5551…82ccbacked Yes0c22,596$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb624…97ffbacked Yes0c22,539$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe814…0fe5backed Yes0c22,467$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc21…41f7backed Yes0c22,397$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…7475backed Yes0c22,326$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…28e6backed Yes0c22,282$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9343…65a8backed Yes0c22,208$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…9833backed Yes0c22,134$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535d…efa6backed Yes0c22,102$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…74f4backed Yes0c22,068$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6697…7d7dbacked Yes0c22,013$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08c…580ebacked Yes0c21,973$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeead…9aeabacked Yes0c21,924$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c1…a7b3backed Yes0c21,861$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba4d…e9e9backed Yes0c21,822$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…42c9backed Yes0c21,767$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8682…e7d5backed Yes0c21,733$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7406…cf2abacked Yes0c21,658$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4da…c44bbacked Yes0c21,616$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d2…1c25backed Yes0c21,541$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe7…dc6fbacked Yes0c21,506$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235b…6874backed Yes0c21,460$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1550…aab8backed Yes0c21,389$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d52…a725backed Yes0c21,338$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8a27backed Yes0c21,295$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f09…d9f0backed Yes0c21,250$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c88…6307backed Yes0c21,213$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b8…cdc9backed Yes0c21,167$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fb…37a3backed Yes0c21,102$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35fe…27d1backed Yes0c21,049$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…7a77backed Yes0c20,997$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f2…5230backed Yes0c20,943$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2153…ab8cbacked Yes0c20,888$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b5…d7f3backed Yes0c20,829$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…10c7backed Yes0c20,790$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda80…1931backed Yes0c20,743$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb442…2f7ebacked Yes0c20,679$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b4…797cbacked Yes0c20,651$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.