TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$575,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$379,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $575,845 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5188…c804backed Yes1c94,186$588 inLost-$587.785843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1678…22b8backed Yes0c27,379$55 inLost-$54.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes1c24,379$122 inLost-$121.896328.6%18 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes1c21,485$250 inLost-$249.632450%12 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed Yes0c17,335$70 inLost-$70.141741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes0c8,900$27 inLost-$26.73540%14 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58af…4aa9backed Yes2c7,143$107 inLost-$107.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4987…f81bbacked Yes1c7,105$92 inLost-$92.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…2015backed Yes1c7,100$92 inLost-$92.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x342a…8c66backed Yes1c7,090$85 inLost-$85.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b3…d791backed Yes1c7,090$71 inLost-$70.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad62…3398backed Yes1c7,040$63 inLost-$63.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9746…c31cbacked Yes0c4,000$12 inLost-$1290%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92a0…5218backed Yes1c3,772$32 inLost-$31.69170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes1c3,297$31 inLost-$30.616123%14 W · 47 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbf…98b6backed Yes1c3,105$22 inLost-$22.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes1c2,966$36 inLost-$35.7214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-91.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes2c2,646$40 inLost-$402634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+133.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes1c2,567$23 inLost-$22.87634.8%3 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-90.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d5…bcfdbacked Yes2c2,500$45 inLost-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes1c2,045$10 inLost-$10.224843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed38…a90fbacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes1c2,000$12 inLost-$1211850%59 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c3c…b4ecbacked Yes1c2,000$12 inLost-$12180%0 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,525$21 inLost-$21.021,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…d774backed Yes1c1,381$16 inLost-$15.8870%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd252…5876backed Yes1c1,312$12 inLost-$11.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a5…518abacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433c…aa4cbacked Yes1c863.25$10 inLost-$10.3650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aed…b8bfbacked Yes1c863.25$11 inLost-$10.750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.