AI · resolved market

Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc911270562115b23c039a7332acfef95066fcf9fe8c675752c67766d997cbe64

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,351,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $718,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,351,069 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes	5c	168,120$7,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,958.52	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked Yes	6c	123,176$7,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,865.72	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Yes	6c	101,649$6,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,010.08	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e3e…4a75backed Yes	8c	95,760$7,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,757.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…70efbacked Yes	4c	79,937$3,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,548.21	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6837…15e1backed Yes	4c	71,027$2,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,529.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	6c	38,170$2,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,363.41	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes	3c	37,931$1,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233.79	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	4c	35,000$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,302.31	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes	6c	20,700$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.12	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66d4…ae10backed Yes	6c	20,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86d…c53fbacked Yes	5c	10,764$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed Yes	4c	10,500$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb558…6d3cbacked Yes	4c	10,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-63%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	4c	9,225$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.09	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-91.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	4c	9,151$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.43	63	4.8%3 W · 60 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-90.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4392…68c3backed Yes	8c	8,166$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.36	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	8,042$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.7	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d01…1645backed Yes	4c	7,777$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.74	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c9…64d1backed Yes	2c	6,873$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.9	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9285…4d48backed Yes	7c	6,553$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.9	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x616a…6104backed Yes	5c	6,464$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb21…e043backed Yes	8c	5,976$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.87	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes	4c	5,046$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes	4c	5,000$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.16	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+114.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba3e…c102backed Yes	5c	5,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.35	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes	3c	4,874$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.57	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes	8c	4,018$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.74	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-5.7wins	-0.24per pick	40cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes	6c	4,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.31per pick	40cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	5c	3,967$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.7	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-84.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Yes	4c	3,726$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.28	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74e4…c23fbacked Yes	4c	3,700$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9163…cd93backed Yes	6c	3,397$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01e7…89b4backed Yes	5c	3,310$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.57	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2808…16babacked Yes	4c	3,147$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.98	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes	4c	3,115$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.91	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b48…58a6backed Yes	4c	3,000$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4407…0e24backed Yes	9c	2,912$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	31cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	5c	2,889$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.63	258	31.8%82 W · 176 L	-14.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26a8…0d38backed Yes	5c	2,790$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.9	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb8…dafdbacked Yes	7c	2,602$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.04	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1432…3d2ebacked Yes	2c	2,524$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	5c	2,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes	5c	2,157$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.52	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffc5…4d99backed Yes	5c	2,126$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed Yes	2c	2,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-33%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	4c	1,892$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.71	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf75…7018backed Yes	6c	1,751$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	6c	1,639$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.9	183	23%42 W · 141 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7373…7701backed Yes	5c	1,584$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.6	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	4c	1,515$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.32	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3c…b4ecbacked Yes	4c	1,500$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd5fe…9856backed Yes	1c	1,445$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes	9c	1,430$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-59%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	3c	1,381$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.97	183	11.5%21 W · 162 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa433…f198backed Yes	4c	1,350$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29a…c56fbacked Yes	4c	1,349$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.72	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b91…2709backed Yes	4c	1,300$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.9	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+5.1wins	+0.20per pick	38cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x130c…782cbacked Yes	1c	1,286$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x227f…41e3backed Yes	5c	1,275$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.46	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7b…265ebacked Yes	5c	1,266$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8203…0187backed Yes	5c	1,262$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.84	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6bd…0b58backed Yes	7c	1,240$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x118a…9e75backed Yes	8c	1,223$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc81c…e454backed Yes	4c	1,190$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe821…248fbacked Yes	9c	1,142$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…d868backed Yes	4c	1,101$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	5c	1,100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	149	1.3%2 W · 147 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe58f…ffc8backed Yes	4c	1,098$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755d…6accbacked Yes	5c	1,086$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.19	55	21.8%12 W · 43 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	1,052$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.37	574	26.8%154 W · 420 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953a…f288backed Yes	6c	1,030$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	4c	1,009$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc975…2c68backed Yes	4c	1,000$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x109e…0a59backed Yes	4c	1,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5dd…939abacked Yes	5c	999.95$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9045…321abacked Yes	2c	978.94$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe14f…c1a0backed Yes	5c	965.71$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.46	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec17…44bcbacked Yes	4c	933.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Yes	5c	865.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	4c	788.25$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	2c	755.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	479	38%182 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e9…ff0abacked Yes	4c	750$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa31…5cc1backed Yes	7c	743.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda55…49a1backed Yes	9c	700.01$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Yes	9c	696.68$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6105…b416backed Yes	8c	672.13$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes	5c	667.23$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.67	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	4c	645.96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf529…4fc0backed Yes	4c	625$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6a…c984backed Yes	4c	617.07$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.87	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e3…a274backed Yes	8c	600.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff17…5745backed Yes	4c	600.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f7…35e5backed Yes	7c	599$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.92	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86e…8642backed Yes	5c	576.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee4…e18dbacked Yes	4c	567.44$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x234c…40d5backed Yes	6c	538.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event