TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec17…44bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst F1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$34.42
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.59
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$102.88
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.53
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50.75
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$78.95
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.12
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.5%+$61.52
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.4%+$37.7
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$36.94
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$181
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+94.2%+$65.94
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.69
Bears vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.4
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$40.5
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$26.45
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$9.77
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$138.26
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$86.47
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Lightning vs. Avalanchebacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.31
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.55
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+169.8%+$180.02
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$157.86
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$32.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$127.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$54.08
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.99
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$40
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$21.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+59.8%+$179.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$26.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$398.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 September third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One - Map 2 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.