TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over46c35,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.937656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c22,805$13,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,035.154,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c10,375$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.2124145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under54c7,139$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.892475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c6,070$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.613,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c5,519$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.662,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0720054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c4,133$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.8213054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under53c4,109$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.7435442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over51c3,944$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over47c2,862$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Over48c2,708$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1752962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c2,435$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.391330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c2,306$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.0963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over46c1,475$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.473253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over32c1,384$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.917031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c1,360$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65011345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over44c1,334$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.8217128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over32c1,204$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under52c1,200$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5827851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over27c1,150$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under73c1,137$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c1,096$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.1414146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over31c896.77$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2787440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under53c853.64$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.212250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c844.69$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5247653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over42c814.52$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342319.7%3 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over50c775.86$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.881631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over6c770.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2360732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c743.64$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c698.12$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.968041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under69c692.63$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over20c620.78$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.879466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102229.1%2 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under49c460$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.612863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c424.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7412445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c418$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6424344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c335.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.621,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Over47c290.7$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.632142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under55c281.52$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5911736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over47c278.47$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.883844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under51c242.01$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.587560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.23953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c207.11$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10169350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under51c205.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9845250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6d…9f36backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9916836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over42c190.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c184.2$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.641,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Over44c179.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.193342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over45c179.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.665026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Over17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over26c162$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.122759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.868956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under65c135$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2583640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under60c132.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4722760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Under51c129.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.661070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Under54c128.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.983554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under65c128.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9311366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c123.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1768050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under56c122.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.022479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under67c122.73$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7816348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.64845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over38c113.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over43c111.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under57c109.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Over45c108.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over46c106.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.998950.6%45 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under60c105.11$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1626154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c3…c2e6backed Over45c104.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over36c102.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4362744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505650%28 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c97…82adbacked Under52c96.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d1…98c1backed Over52c96.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Over17c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under52c85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.820857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over37c80.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over32c79.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.642158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c79.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.981,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c78.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.