La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83397d2978450be2a13d1cc3e138a32788572f09806ed37bdc72ce9c3fbe69eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbolof Sevilla FC, Real Sociedad de Fútbol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 79c | 6,175$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.5 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Sevilla FC | 21c | 3,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Sevilla FC | 18c | 1,499$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Sevilla FC | 29c | 1,427$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Sevilla FC | 16c | 1,127$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Sevilla FC | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sevilla FC | 18c | 734.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sevilla FC | 16c | 404.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Sevilla FC | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Sevilla FC | 41c | 191.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sevilla FC | 19c | 140.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Sevilla FC | 29c | 105.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Sevilla FC | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sevilla FC | 23c | 82.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 79c | 66.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Sevilla FC | 24c | 56.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 79c | 25.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 71c | 22.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.