TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No64c20,790$13,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,515.614,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes26c15,309$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.4710736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No44c4,498$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.9635442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8d…17a2backed Yes57c4,259$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes57c3,333$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9003369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c2,352$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.213,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No44c1,720$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.5648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c1,450$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.1564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes46c1,049$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.7937829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c1,005$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.672,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No79c792.05$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c748.42$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.1348153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c644.61$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes56c608.93$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34110041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes56c528.57$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29616160.9%98 W · 63 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663c…1fe9backed Yes55c499.71$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Yes54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes21c371.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7816348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes56c357.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c353.51$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…0bcbbacked Yes54c341.59$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c325.87$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.581,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed Yes54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-42.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No43c283.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1911736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Yes53c265.89$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.923852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No61c244.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.171,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No46c243.95$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d86…54bdbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009722.7%22 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb960…d289backed Yes55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Yes23c216.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes53c185.89$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.521957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes55c180.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8210154.5%55 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0012…bff8backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes54c166.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes47c164.91$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.927548%36 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bb…9302backed Yes32c152.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.791560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.510049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Yes21c133.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-87.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67b3…7781backed Yes54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No48c126.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.252369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes21c120.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2319247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes45c120.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.971729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.29238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes34c119.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5544424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No69c117.29$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1222760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Yes56c111.01$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed No46c106.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.881729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No65c104$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6926154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ac…4025backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe16…b5dfbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes26c96.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa36f…dbcfbacked Yes56c95.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.52955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.828355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…b8ecbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8f…4449backed Yes54c90.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No65c90.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4111366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes56c90.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.582147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.32347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.413050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes55c89.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.365459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes56c85.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes39c79.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0161657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No44c75.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1422658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes50c74.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.332657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No46c73.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7915655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes28c72.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.392744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e2…20ccbacked No58c69.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.021450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c64.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7668450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed No47c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.862653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+42.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes21c61.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9614140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes54c60.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611664.7%75 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b98…aa35backed No70c57.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46561.5%40 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.810348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Yes27c51.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes41c50.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.959655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.528446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes46c47.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.735248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Yes57c45.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.981442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ae…4440backed Yes55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.