TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd35d…ea31

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Commodities, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$221.1
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$35.4
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.92
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.16
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.87
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$89.66
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$156.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$165.14
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$70.59
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$115.65
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.24
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.33
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$139.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$105.34
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$76.35
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$96
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$197.99
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.18
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.66
Set 1 Winner: Eala vs Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$292.7
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$210.37
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.07
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$130.06
Miami Open: Ignacio Buse vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.4
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.86
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+135.5%+$271.22
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+222.7%+$222.69
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.8
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.08
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Australian Open Men's: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Fucsovicsbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+67.4%+$12.13
Australian Open Men's: Reilly Opelka vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$53.18
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$19.32
Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Australian Open Men's: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$32.39
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$125.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$35.89
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$113.32
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$67.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.8%+$444.32
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.8
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$67.25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100.52
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+57%+$106.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.5%+$105.27
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100.17
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$106
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$31.42
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-61.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.06
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.7
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$249.16
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.77
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.13
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.57
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$53.55
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.24
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+89%+$177.92
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.03
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$108
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$102.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.55
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.6%+$99.03
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.59
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$90.57
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$38.98
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$49.54
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$37.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports (BO3)backed Vibranium Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.