La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdea105b6a9712f9326e140f56435dca3a9d56f60935c995415a96a0a731ed4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 45c | 32,585$14,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,614.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 51c | 23,667$12,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,009.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 23,364$12,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,493.55 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Under | 52c | 11,987$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.07 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 10,880$6,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.58 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 9,306$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745.82 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 49c | 7,905$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.43 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 52c | 5,113$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.69 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 4,516$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.27 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.75 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 48c | 3,611$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 3,565$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.23 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 51c | 2,912$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 75c | 2,309$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.41 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 63c | 2,300$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 50c | 2,181$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.67 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Under | 52c | 2,061$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.92 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 1,940$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.5 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 50c | 1,836$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.97 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 50c | 1,301$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 1,065$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.58 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 1,025$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.65 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 48c | 1,023$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.11 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 49c | 998.89$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.3 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 48c | 959.82$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 897.16$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.85 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 50c | 795.4$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 51c | 747.93$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 680.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +203%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 46c | 662.6$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.8 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 642.14$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.07 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 49c | 552.87$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 61c | 542.85$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.14 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 48c | 537.68$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 49c | 525$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 494.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.46 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 50c | 492.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.38 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 58c | 465.69$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.91 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 53c | 456.24$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 451.03$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 51c | 428.21$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 12c | 418.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…5256backed Under | 37c | 412.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Over | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Over | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 32c | 355.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 11c | 350$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…50cbbacked Under | 30c | 317.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 51c | 312.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 300.12$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 280.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 18c | 272.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 26c | 265.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 49c | 233.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 57c | 208.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed Under | 51c | 195.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 56c | 181.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 57c | 179.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 177.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 51c | 175.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 26c | 165.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…8bf4backed Under | 60c | 164.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 27c | 161.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 61c | 148.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under | 12c | 142.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 75c | 139.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 13c | 138.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 50c | 137.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Over | 48c | 136.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 47c | 129.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 54c | 126.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Over | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked Over | 57c | 114.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 57c | 102.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.