TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6325…cfaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Olympics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.72
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+172.3%+$528.68
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$1,235.54
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.42
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$177.28
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,601Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,701.68
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70%+$96.82
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olisebacked Dembele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$167.37
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.58
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$921.92
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$239.14
Kylian Mbappé: 5+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.15
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.99
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$105.69
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$448.6
Youri Tielemans: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+168%+$1,300.38
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+97%+$211.7
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.68
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+183.7%+$617.79
Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.63
Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.82
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.55
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$307.22
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$74.27
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.03
Will PSV win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.78
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$126.64
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.39
Will PEC Zwolle vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.05
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+59%+$19.84
SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.3%+$486.35
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.84
NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$230.54
NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$227.87
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$76.2
Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$36
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.2%+$35.02
Will NEC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33.75
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55.16
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+135.5%+$74.11
Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.28
Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$666.39
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.94
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$75.49
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,740
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.87
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$471.92
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.17
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$82.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.85
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.21
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$70.1
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42.15
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25%+$73.62
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$53.51
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.34
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.38
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$71.36
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$115.73
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.28
Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.34
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+137.6%+$122
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.2%+$74.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$598.01
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$97.05
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$79.95
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
All 17 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Will William Dandjinou (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.4%+$6.47
Will Jens Van’t Wout (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.5%+$55.48
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
Will Kokomo Murase (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+30.6%+$19.45
Will Zoi Sadowski Synnott (NZL) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.7%+$42.78
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+54.1%+$17.34
Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Vladimir Semirunniy (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Xandra Velzeboer (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will Francesca Lollobrigida (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 5000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$67.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shelbourne FC vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$318.52
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$77.63
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$341.02
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40%+$138.25
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$481.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$607.74
Will Noah FA vs. AZ end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$76.04
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$148.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ make CS2 EWC Grand finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$59.62
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.87
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Abacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Counter-Strike: Evo Novo vs Sashi Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked Evo Novo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$26.52
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Dbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75.01
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs FarmVille (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Playoffsbacked FarmVille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+200.9%+$21.67
All 7 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+77.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$294.16
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$78.17
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.