Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93bd4a543f9a00af0cb952db846f6b9b1d73ecb99da191a6ceaa4ae912c8196b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crystal Palace FCof Manchester United FC, Crystal Palace FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $399,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 233,978$145,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,519.87 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 52,000$19,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,760 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 48,736$18,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,146.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 47,618$18,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,095.01 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 15,007$5,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,702.82 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 14,288$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.57 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 13,158$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 7,993$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.14 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 7,895$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.37 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 5,700$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Manchester United FC | 40c | 5,575$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Manchester United FC | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 5,400$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.81 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 4,756$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.83 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Manchester United FC | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Manchester United FC | 35c | 3,759$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.88 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 2,821$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 2,500$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.81 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…0399backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…109bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 2,053$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Manchester United FC | 50c | 2,018$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 1,944$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb6…8977backed Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 1,802$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…57b9backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 1,749$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 1,627$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.33 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ad…6880backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 1,620$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 1,573$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.47 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Manchester United FC | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 1,404$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.89 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 1,211$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.16 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…d26dbacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 1,120$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Manchester United FC | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 914$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.32 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…5d0cbacked Crystal Palace FC | 63c | 820$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…d6c9backed Crystal Palace FC | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…6dc2backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 605$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Manchester United FC | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 541.66$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 450$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 449.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Manchester United FC | 47c | 421.29$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Crystal Palace FC | 63c | 398$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Manchester United FC | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Manchester United FC | 44c | 333.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 330.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 289.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 282.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 276$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…772ebacked Manchester United FC | 40c | 274.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Manchester United FC | 39c | 258.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 254.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…1732backed Manchester United FC | 40c | 251.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…2807backed Crystal Palace FC | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked Manchester United FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 249.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Crystal Palace FC | 59c | 223.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Manchester United FC | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6a…6f9fbacked Manchester United FC | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 190.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Crystal Palace FC | 60c | 185.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 183.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Manchester United FC | 36c | 173.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 160.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…4234backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 159.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Crystal Palace FC | 63c | 158.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester United FC | 41c | 143.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Crystal Palace FC | 51c | 137.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…c566backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 136$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 132.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Manchester United FC | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Manchester United FC | 39c | 130.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 128$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Manchester United FC | 41c | 127.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…8a25backed Crystal Palace FC | 63c | 126.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…88e6backed Manchester United FC | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Manchester United FC | 51c | 124.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 117.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Manchester United FC | 37c | 115.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Manchester United FC | 30c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 108.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Manchester United FC | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…91aabacked Manchester United FC | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.