Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27da30e5890a0f9da3c30242351c785b2dbd645315daed0ff190f20bc6414a10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 66c | 46,116$30,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,829.4 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…c7edbacked Over | 36c | 21,930$7,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,894.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…13c1backed Under | 64c | 21,900$14,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 16,244$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930.82 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 9,009$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 63c | 7,936$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.46 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 48c | 7,594$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.33 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 34c | 7,578$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.45 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 34c | 6,878$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.66 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed Over | 2c | 6,207$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.99 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 26c | 3,790$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.4 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 66c | 3,740$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.6 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 47c | 3,324$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.49 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 36c | 2,337$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.59 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 64c | 2,069$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.9 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 37c | 1,745$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.13 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 1,735$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.04 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 62c | 1,587$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.98 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 1,494$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.24 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Over | 37c | 1,354$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Over | 24c | 1,190$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Over | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 987.75$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.27 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Over | 67c | 980.35$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 35c | 893.55$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.74 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 28c | 865$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.21 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 43c | 786.42$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.16 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…1d60backed Over | 65c | 782.13$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 33c | 730.09$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 25c | 627$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Over | 35c | 571.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Over | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Under | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Under | 65c | 457.94$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.28 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 43c | 405.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…2825backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 51c | 395.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 12c | 375.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 55c | 361.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 68c | 355.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Over | 35c | 339.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 339.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 35c | 317.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…3fb7backed Under | 33c | 304.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 289.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 30c | 287.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed Under | 64c | 270.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Under | 49c | 265.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 65c | 214.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Over | 37c | 211.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 50c | 197.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Under | 53c | 187.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Under | 59c | 167$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 23c | 157.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 38c | 151$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a1…f7afbacked Over | 34c | 147.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 57c | 144.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 25c | 139.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 61c | 138$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Under | 44c | 127.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 66c | 118.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Under | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Over | 39c | 110.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 53c | 106.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…8fe5backed Under | 48c | 104.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 68c | 103.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…1329backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…7c4abacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb56…588abacked Over | 66c | 98.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 25c | 93.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed Under | 58c | 87.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.