TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55fb…fe7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
343
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10945%49 W · 60 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+900%+$1,350
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$609
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.47
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.63
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.74
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.98
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.82
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.1
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.31
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$402.04
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+249.3%+$1,092
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.7
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.4
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$278.8
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$377
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$244
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10342.7%44 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.47
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$376.47
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$492.69
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.6
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.53
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,452.88
Spread: Thunder (-23.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.72
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,113.1
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$360
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.4
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.21
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,488.5
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$817
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$670.84
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.4
Bloomfield Hills: J.J. Wolf vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,094.4
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$286.2
Hamburg European Open: Paula Badosa vs Panna Udvardybacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$583
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Jiang/Xubacked Jiang/Xu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.58
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.79
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Kokkinakis/Kovacevicbacked Kokkinakis/Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Krawietz/Puetzbacked Krawietz/Puetz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovicbacked Guo/Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+195.9%+$414.77
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.06
Bogota: Tristan McCormick vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Contrexeville: Caroline Werner vs Dominika Salkovabacked Caroline Werner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$924.97
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Set 3 Winner: Minaur vs Cobollibacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$906.49
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$393.6
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Miami Open, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,148.81
Miami Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Liam Draxlbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.92
Miami Open, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Coleman Wongbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Miami Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.11
Cap Cana: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$416
Phoenix: Nuno Borges vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$552
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 0 - 0 Elche CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.99
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0 - 0 Levante UD?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.55
Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 0 Villarreal CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.19
Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 0 - 0 Getafe CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.51
UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$312
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$348.3
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.66
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$217.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$259.2
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$409.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$202.1
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$579.77
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+103.6%+$686.95
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$499.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+270.4%+$540.19
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$114.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$724.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$599.99
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+166.7%+$800.05
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$406
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$551
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$3,670.8
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$88.58
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$300.8
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$315
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$438
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$199.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+375.9%+$2,709.17
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$347.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$234
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$681.08
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$744
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$551.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$851
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$230.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+334.8%+$1,694
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$145.77
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+139.4%+$1,403.18
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,078.25
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$985.54
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.89
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.35
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$254.99
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+159.5%+$342.33
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$505.6
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,499
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,423.69
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.24
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$283
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$795.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.43
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$745
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.98
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$257.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$306
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+141.1%+$426.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.75
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed Coritiba FBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.27
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+109.3%+$114.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$277
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.