TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,434,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,171,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,434,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 773 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Vitality67c598,288$400,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197,467.2939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d61…12f6backed MOUZ34c228,116$77,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,061.571553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ35c205,485$71,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,508.5442440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ35c142,954$50,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,002.3221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed MOUZ34c135,414$46,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,040.67943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed MOUZ32c125,779$39,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,785.1721051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Vitality66c70,000$46,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,0005641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Vitality65c58,396$38,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,259.4421842.7%93 W · 125 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked MOUZ36c58,000$20,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,879.982245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Vitality67c50,000$33,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,5006160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed MOUZ32c40,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,80013954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed MOUZ34c34,221$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,70014441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ33c28,358$9,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,358.142055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Vitality75c25,067$18,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,253.915050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ23c21,643$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.45536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed MOUZ33c20,072$6,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,709.931752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed MOUZ33c19,418$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.9810551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Vitality65c19,317$12,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,760.9510549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Vitality66c18,947$12,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,463.9512648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Vitality69c18,551$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,750.723557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality66c18,052$11,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,137.5365250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed MOUZ22c18,020$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.812653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ33c17,492$5,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,709.2983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19f…7c8bbacked Vitality65c16,698$10,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,844.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9afe…6d26backed MOUZ35c16,698$5,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,844.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ23c15,605$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.3681843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa643…d43dbacked MOUZ34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1002733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Vitality66c15,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.968261%50 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Vitality67c14,592$9,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,750.3513065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed MOUZ29c14,384$4,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14110043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Vitality64c14,050$8,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Vitality66c13,150$8,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,47122354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ32c12,500$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,941.4671645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Vitality65c12,269$7,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,294.1524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Vitality65c12,007$7,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.5311146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Vitality64c12,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30075350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10075758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed MOUZ32c10,000$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,172.8612441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Vitality73c9,552$7,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.359364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Vitality66c9,503$6,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.9119455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Vitality71c9,126$6,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.0211643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe082…bf4dbacked Vitality64c8,578$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Vitality64c8,048$5,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.4319549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked MOUZ36c8,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,84014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Vitality66c7,895$5,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.1425251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ0c7,732$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.581,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ27c7,606$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.442,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed MOUZ19c7,599$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.413839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Vitality67c7,463$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.6919660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Vitality68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.947238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed MOUZ32c7,025$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24810947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Vitality65c7,017$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.9528453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Vitality64c6,945$4,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.1646143.4%200 W · 261 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed MOUZ13c6,889$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.9145848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ23c6,844$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.263,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked MOUZ15c6,600$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ29c6,545$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.271,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Vitality65c6,500$4,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27528538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Vitality65c6,461$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.958654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed MOUZ23c6,344$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.855058%29 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked MOUZ32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ32c6,100$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.8420539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Vitality68c6,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94019645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ13c5,878$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.263,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e9…fcc9backed Vitality65c5,695$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.425954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked MOUZ35c5,526$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.755354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked MOUZ31c5,300$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.491553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ34c5,294$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Vitality66c5,281$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.5922448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed MOUZ24c5,261$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.9911937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Vitality68c5,035$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-70.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked MOUZ32c5,020$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.417148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Vitality67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Vitality64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80018752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Vitality65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7505455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked MOUZ32c4,861$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.569349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked Vitality64c4,765$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.271758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Vitality64c4,592$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.3239239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Vitality65c4,589$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.797856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed MOUZ35c4,521$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.7315347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Vitality67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.6125261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Vitality65c4,206$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.924630.4%14 W · 32 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Vitality66c4,153$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.169938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked MOUZ35c4,134$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.0618350.8%93 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Vitality65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed Vitality67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Vitality71c3,710$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.868862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Vitality65c3,610$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.515441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Vitality65c3,538$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.462236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked Vitality67c3,361$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.184037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed MOUZ31c3,329$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.0224935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Vitality66c3,049$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.657342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed Vitality66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.34461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Vitality66c3,022$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.4841061%250 W · 160 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked MOUZ33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9907055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ26c3,000$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.8650833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.