TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcccc…dbdd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
702
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT19943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,059.7
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,863Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,505.15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$595.56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,028.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,392Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,957.97
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$68.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,490.57
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$194.95
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$181.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$666.19
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,666Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$3,887.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,226.79
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$590.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.68
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.99
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.1
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,419.07
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$255.98
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,186.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$305.71
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,907.78
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST19146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 191 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,299.99
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+215.6%+$969.41
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$376.24
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$92.6
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$660.4
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,563.63
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$375.67
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+93.9%+$552.9
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,319Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.7%+$2,003.55
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$7,300.13
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$195.55
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+316.7%+$539.6
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$2,115
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$559.3
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,543Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+65.8%+$2,332.71
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,346
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,749Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+127.3%+$4,771.19
LoL: BRUTE vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$194.88
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35.62
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,057.66
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,098Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$862.4
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 4 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$528.56
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,948Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.4%+$1,575.4
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+55.8%+$1,780.84
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+317.4%+$2,337.95
Showing 25 of 191 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT17148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,335.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,134.29
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,533.61
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.37
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$203.58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$238.77
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$571.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.96
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$696
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,446Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$1,514.37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.99
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,879.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$908.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+90.6%+$276.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$349.99
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18,685Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+104.3%+$19,488.43
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$151.28
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+250.8%+$4,362.83
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$370.31
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,577.73
Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,545Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+94.2%+$2,397.4
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13,339Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11,362.64
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$1,010
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,434.51
Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14,492.77
Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14,285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$14,285
Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,140.07
Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$278.13
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$568.34
Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$202.06
Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14,185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$14,185
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$4,717.73
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+127.4%+$1,508.77
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,202.89
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$5,251.5
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,369.78
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+98.4%+$689.16
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$240.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$175.04
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,553Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$2,452.45
Spread: Suns (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,891Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+108.8%+$6,408.7
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$7,468.82
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$182.12
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$197.64
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25%+$370
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$252.22
Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$166.05
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$168.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$265.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,084Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$8,316.43
Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+138.1%+$49.47
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$479.88
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$166.05
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$144
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,029.6
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+95%+$3,400.4
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,841.18
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$177.99
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$226.24
Will Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$291.79
Will Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,388Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37.3%+$2,012.12
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$90.48
Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41,377.23
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$156.98
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$169.6
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$208.8
Will Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$709.99
Will Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.02
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$174.2
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$192.92
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$149.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$180
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,065.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$339.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$179.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,849.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$4,692
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172.38
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24,657.47
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$364.8
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.8%+$1,368.6
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22,939Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8,920.8
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$517.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$344.5
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$3,802.22
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$153.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+222.6%+$706.56
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$171.87
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20,350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7,149.94
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Brentford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$174
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$688.99
Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$305.9
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7,000
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,864.32
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.67
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.85
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,961.31
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$957.47
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.4%+$1,023.13
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3)backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,760
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,628Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+101.4%+$10,771.76
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+470.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20,510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+470.9%+$96,582.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$742.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,799
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.