NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d824e8d64dd319ca105d5f1ad6e6b7cf77df9a46d3f45a35141b516c76035d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Jazz
Resolved: Dec 31, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $551,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $581,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,288 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Celtics	55c	259,255$141,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117,373.88	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	46c	57,661$26,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,265.28	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Jazz	47c	56,103$26,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,368.58	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz	48c	53,722$25,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,586.4	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz	45c	46,112$20,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,750.18	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Jazz	46c	41,823$19,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,286.01	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Celtics	52c	37,786$19,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,143.57	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Celtics	52c	30,000$15,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,400	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	44c	30,000$13,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,300	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Celtics	54c	24,701$13,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,362.64	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	44c	20,330$9,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,046.7	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	46c	18,324$8,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,486.07	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Jazz	44c	18,013$7,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,925.92	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda65…1fecbacked Celtics	53c	15,472$8,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,271.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Celtics	52c	15,192$7,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,292.3	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Jazz	47c	13,049$6,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,128.4	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	45c	11,052$5,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,015.85	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Jazz	46c	9,698$4,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,461	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Celtics	57c	8,000$4,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,440.94	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jazz	47c	7,777$3,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,655.19	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz	48c	6,268$2,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.22	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jazz	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ae…41afbacked Celtics	53c	5,381$2,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,529.13	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz	47c	5,368$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Celtics	51c	5,303$2,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,598.47	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz	56c	4,819$2,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,674.79	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	45c	4,349$1,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,973.28	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Jazz	45c	4,000$1,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,780	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz	47c	3,970$1,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,866.28	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Celtics	52c	3,643$1,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,748.59	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz	45c	3,400$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,544	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Jazz	48c	3,093$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.64	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…0262backed Celtics	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Celtics	53c	2,931$1,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377.58	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics	55c	2,722$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.55	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Jazz	49c	2,546$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.54	277	35%97 W · 180 L	-30.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz	46c	2,398$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.45	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…85e7backed Celtics	53c	2,374$1,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,115.58	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.6wins	+0.28per pick	49cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Jazz	48c	2,182$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.34	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Jazz	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Jazz	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics	52c	1,952$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.8	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Celtics	54c	1,750$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.92	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz	45c	1,556$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.2	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	49c	1,379$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.97	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz	45c	1,250$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz	45c	1,200$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.63	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Celtics	55c	1,182$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.82	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Celtics	51c	1,175$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.54	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Celtics	50c	1,136$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics	54c	1,111$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.96	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Jazz	47c	1,100$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.98	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Jazz	5c	1,095$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.75	390	18.2%71 W · 319 L	+27.6wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Celtics	55c	1,034$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.91	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Jazz	70c	1,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.81	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Celtics	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Jazz	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	45c	925$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.15	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Jazz	55c	909.09$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics	53c	904.27$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.52	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Jazz	46c	816.3$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.5	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	46c	791.05$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.69	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Jazz	47c	780$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.6	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jazz	47c	768.88$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.67	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics	53c	656$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.32	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Celtics	51c	629.69$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Celtics	48c	618.94$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.94	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Celtics	55c	600$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Jazz	19c	600$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	85	11.8%10 W · 75 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Jazz	53c	570$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.1	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz	48c	534$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.32	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Jazz	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	304	52.6%160 W · 144 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Celtics	53c	419.47$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.15	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9eb…ae0ebacked Jazz	46c	345.65$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Celtics	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	91	62.6%57 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Jazz	49c	255.1$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Jazz	30c	241.06$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.21	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3d…3f06backed Jazz	47c	234.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Celtics	53c	230$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.1	229	53.7%123 W · 106 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Jazz	44c	228.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.64	271	44.3%120 W · 151 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jazz	48c	210$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Jazz	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Jazz	47c	207.94$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.73	131	53.4%70 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Jazz	48c	200$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb903…c5eebacked Celtics	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Celtics	39c	194.41$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.59	263	39.5%104 W · 159 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Celtics	53c	190.57$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.57	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.29per pick	55cpaid	+55%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Celtics	55c	188.69$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.91	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz	47c	180.04$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.06	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Jazz	51c	174.64$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.41	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Jazz	49c	171.4$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.99	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Jazz	45c	167$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.15	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0729…0fa3backed Celtics	46c	150.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.18	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Jazz	46c	147.21$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.06	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Jazz	45c	146$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.7	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Celtics	55c	145.45$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.45	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Celtics	52c	140.38$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.88	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Celtics	54c	138.89$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.89	168	52.4%88 W · 80 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Celtics	76c	135$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.83	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Jazz	45c	133.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	337	30.3%102 W · 235 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event