TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9925…e33e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst College Football at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$770.79
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$373.73
76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$469.05
Warriors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$424.98
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.7%+$235.98
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$408.7
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$78.29
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+189.5%+$255.02
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$504.82
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+48.2%+$283.8
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$895.8
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$248.8
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$705
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$545
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$194.8
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$125.2
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$180
Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$307.7
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$392.86
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$307.92
Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$593.31
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$407.75
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+60.3%+$290.54
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$408
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$998.25
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$599.83
Spread: Ohio State (-7.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$436.33
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+41.7%+$279.5
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$249.97
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$423.2
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$267.63
Toledo vs. Louisville: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$576.84
Spread: Hawaii (-8.5)backed Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$768.63
O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$786.92
UL Monroe vs. Louisiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$777.59
Illinois vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+48.3%+$310.98
Spread: Clemson (-41.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$330
Furman Paladins vs. Clemson: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+86.5%+$434.26
San Diego State vs. Hawaii: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$642.69
San Diego State vs. Hawaiibacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$133.59
Spread: USC (-4.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$322.55
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,131.79
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.97
O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.6
Michigan vs. Michigan State: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$622.93
Texas A&M vs. LSU: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$153.14
Spread: North Texas (-27.5)backed Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.6
Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$313.6
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST3565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+127.3%+$745.89
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$999.49
Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$306.38
1H Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$300.55
Vikings vs. Packers: 1H O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$999.49
Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$576.23
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,564.12
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$612.66
Ravens vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Commanders vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$329
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$24.26
Browns vs. Patriots: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$650
Spread: Chargers (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$287.2
Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$316.8
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$170
Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$408.48
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+56.4%+$180.29
Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 34.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$449.76
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$293.67
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$305.45
Bears vs. Commanders: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$197.4
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$278.12
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$378
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+128.3%+$664.9
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$370.26
Lightning vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$490.01
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+62.7%+$501.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$149
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$109.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$104.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$56.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.