Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0147e287aa2bde4b9fa369d08b39f447ce6f112c01eb14713c8dbe5033ec961d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Under | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.99 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871d…0830backed Over | 41c | 7,749$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 59c | 7,607$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.81 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 7,209$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 40c | 6,200$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 3,921$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 33c | 3,673$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.92 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 40c | 2,615$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.85 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 41c | 2,399$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.59 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Under | 63c | 1,668$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.69 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Under | 63c | 1,577$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Under | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 76c | 1,249$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 40c | 1,055$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.25 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 35c | 998.9$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 42c | 959.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 39c | 900.52$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.2 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 41c | 770$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.16 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 61c | 738$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.82 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Under | 58c | 599.99$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 59c | 488$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.08 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 13c | 285.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 73c | 270.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Over | 24c | 218.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 176.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Over | 40c | 163.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 39c | 151.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 24c | 135.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Under | 76c | 131.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Over | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 60c | 126.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 58c | 122.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Over | 27c | 120.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 41c | 114.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Under | 80c | 113.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Over | 23c | 99.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…3ee8backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 40c | 73.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Over | 30c | 54.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…d65ebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Over | 42c | 48.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 25c | 41.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 41c | 37.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…9d61backed Over | 40c | 35.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 41c | 34.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 35c | 32.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 58c | 32.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Over | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)West Ham won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.