TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x024e…2e48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
288
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 60 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST7440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+284.6%+$88.8
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Leeds United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+669.2%+$69.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$59.6
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+455.6%+$196.8
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+316.7%+$68.4
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$28.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
Everton vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Everton vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$28.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$53.9
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+151.3%+$90.3
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST7346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$80.9
Lakers vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41.4
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$50.4
Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$171
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+86.9%+$55.8
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$62.7
Kings vs. Heat: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.9
Warriors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
Warriors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+257.1%+$64.8
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$59.8
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35.7
Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$51.7
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$27.2
Spurs vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+62%+$31
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+117.4%+$43.2
Jazz vs. Nets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$83.3
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST4337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$97.3
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$93.5
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70.4
Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+177.8%+$160
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+119.9%+$81.8
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+195.9%+$132.4
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$42.9
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$28.2
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$74.9
Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$66.7
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+93%+$58.79
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$36
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29.9
Will Mallorca win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$107
Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$56.98
Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3650%18 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$94.5
SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$97.5
SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$57.8
SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$27.3
SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65
SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+566.7%+$110.5
Cagliari Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.7
Cagliari Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$84
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+130.8%+$85
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$82.7
Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+105.5%+$61.6
Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+264.1%+$108.8
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+222.6%+$69
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+300%+$75
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$37.8
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$38.4
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+96.1%+$34.3
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+244.8%+$42.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+226.5%+$221.98
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55.2
Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.97
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+263.6%+$145
Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+90.5%+$57
Will RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+198.1%+$144.65
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$64.9
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+155.5%+$85.2
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+123.4%+$93.9
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$72
FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$61.1
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51.6
Will FC Metz win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Le Havre AC vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75.3
Le Havre AC vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Le Havre AC vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$68
AJ Auxerre vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+270.4%+$87.6
AJ Auxerre vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$94.9
OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$58.5
OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60.3
Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$49.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29.9
Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+334.8%+$38.5
Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$61.6
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$32.9
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$63.6
Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.75
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Rangers FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Panathinaikós AO vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
FK Crvena zvezda vs. FCSB: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Go Ahead Eagles vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$35.4
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+51.8%+$23.9
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14
AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+74.8%+$64.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.