Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fbc3e81f789617f4bde59183d1fa385f6a836f96f035ad6c5f1d26de7e6334c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 24c | 7,528$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.09 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 6,398$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.48 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 988$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 499.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 460.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…778dbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 51c | 243.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 18c | 185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 42c | 65.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…ef85backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…8f06backed Under | 52c | 20.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5this page
- OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.