TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf30a…3583

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,046
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT16936.1%61 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$58.81
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$26.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$32.07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+186.9%+$32.56
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$55.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.91
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16629.5%49 W · 117 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 166 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.2%+$66.02
Rayan Cherki: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$75.98
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Showing 25 of 166 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT14251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$61.39
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.62
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.8
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$79.9
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.8
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.49
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT9240.2%37 W · 55 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72%+$41.85
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$229
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$44.33
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$60.5
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST7640.8%31 W · 45 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$23.6
Kings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Ducks vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Lightning vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Utah vs. Islandersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$18
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Lightning vs. Ducksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5529.1%16 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+769.6%+$442.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will Karmine Corp win LEC 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.66
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.16
Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.89
Will GIANTX win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.31
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.9
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$211.7
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.2%+$61.35
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$25.88
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$26.7
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+167.1%+$35.09
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Raiders vs. Texans: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$20.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$62.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$55.72
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$236.25
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+77%+$217.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.46
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Valencia vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.87
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.03
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.66
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+300%+$30
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+193.2%+$29.65
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64.49
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$15.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$37.67
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.5%+$32.2
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+84.3%+$15.36
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$656
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$51.35
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Spread: Navy (-6.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.4%+$289.61
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+376.2%+$42.79
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+504.7%+$240.57
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.2
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.02
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$61.97
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$65.99
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.34
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.47
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.97
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+83.5%+$45.5
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$42
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-56.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.26
Will OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$10.8
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.29
OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.45
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.3%+$9.29
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.66
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$9.28
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)backed Werder Bremen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+63%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+328.6%+$229.99
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+197%+$199
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+82%+$45.09
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$84.5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203%+$66.99
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.67
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$324.23
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$56.17
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+72.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rampage win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 4 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.