AI · resolved market
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b95141b43a6392c672c3afb44f45fbf1255a17f6958cea0e248e87b64faca57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…ef0dbacked No | 18c | 7,386$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 47c | 4,085$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 37c | 3,677$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.26 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…3b87backed No | 71c | 3,041$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…aa9ebacked No | 2c | 3,017$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 16c | 2,712$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.21 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +19.9wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 1c | 2,518$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 28c | 2,120$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 1c | 2,008$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 1c | 2,004$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 77c | 1,880$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +165%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 67c | 1,809$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,739$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.06 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 27c | 1,569$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.87 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…80a6backed No | 70c | 1,498$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 77c | 1,386$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed No | 45c | 1,345$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 12c | 1,279$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +301.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…8a33backed Yes | 40c | 1,241$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…2638backed No | 1c | 1,191$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 21c | 1,179$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 34c | 1,170$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 5c | 1,154$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 55c | 1,137$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 62c | 1,096$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 38c | 1,089$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 58c | 1,064$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…cf0cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,036$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 38c | 1,028$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.61 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 56c | 984.17$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.37 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 63c | 975.98$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 32c | 911.92$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +505.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 67c | 899.99$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 58c | 894.99$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed No | 19c | 851$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 12c | 847.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.76 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…b3c2backed No | 45c | 809$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 18c | 800$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed No | 42c | 796$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 19c | 792$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…c761backed No | 46c | 790.46$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes | 56c | 753$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 44cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…c22abacked Yes | 63c | 751$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f51…c63cbacked Yes | 32c | 742$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 68c | 742$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked Yes | 55c | 721$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 55c | 709$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…9b4ebacked No | 67c | 699.99$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…1182backed No | 51c | 697.74$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdb…8ffcbacked Yes | 75c | 697.09$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed No | 44c | 679$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed No | 37c | 678$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed No | 45c | 678$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cb…6e8fbacked No | 60c | 672.06$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked No | 37c | 671$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 62c | 666$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e8c1backed No | 72c | 662.09$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed Yes | 61c | 627$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 42c | 615$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 41c | 602$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 37c | 590$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed No | 37c | 569$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked No | 45c | 561$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…cbc8backed No | 10c | 560.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed Yes | 44c | 555$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.36 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed No | 68c | 543$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 36c | 521.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.06 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 517.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.39 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 55c | 508$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed Yes | 63c | 479.75$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked Yes | 61c | 465$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 37c | 455$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 45c | 443$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 55c | 443$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96e…1ea6backed No | 40c | 432$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 428.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 39c | 427.92$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed No | 32c | 418$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 35c | 415.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 22c | 406.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 402.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.45 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 11c | 399.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 13c | 398$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 44c | 391.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 22c | 388.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.89 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cd…ba23backed Yes | 29c | 380.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 61c | 362$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 63c | 354$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 49c | 350.15$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…0f0fbacked No | 39c | 346$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 39c | 346$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…5122backed Yes | 63c | 342$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed No | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 63c | 336$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 34c | 333$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed No | 39c | 332$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 21c | 329.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 19c | 329$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?this page
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?No won
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No won
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.