TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x16a0…72f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+40.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$229.5
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$74.52
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.9
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$126.72
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,350
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.04
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.68
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.95
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$934.32
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.3
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$218.25
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$38.43
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$130.52
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.51
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.16
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.31
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$350.64
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$605.25
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$246.24
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.4%+$42.69
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$97.02
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$130.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$105.6
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.45
Military action against Iran ends by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.5
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$105.3
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.56
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.18
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$503.01
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$290.3
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.48
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$221.72
Khamenei public appearance by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$283.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$159.34
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$41.65
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.4%+$191.94
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.57
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.85
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.35
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,265.82
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$333.2
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+34.1%+$120.91
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$173.52
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+614.3%+$252.84
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+57.9%+$364.89
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$37.95
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$145.34
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.25
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.51
Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.18
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.57
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.8
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.26
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$186.78
All 7 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+134.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+81.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Blackburn Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.01
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)backed Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$227.04
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$137.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+145.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$235.74
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$155.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$236.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Jiggle Peek" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$276.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.