TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd77e…83a4backed Yes77c1,199$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.571546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7f…f745backed No23c1,128$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.931450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3143…cd52backed Yes77c1,009$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.26540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbd…93f9backed Yes79c975$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8d…fc01backed No23c970$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ec…4477backed No23c892$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.482737%10 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff5d…4e58backed Yes78c864$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.091861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes77c795$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.461050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed No23c793$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.011855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9f…c0d4backed No17c784$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f66…ad61backed Yes79c764$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes77c754$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked No22c735$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.232544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3702…829dbacked No21c731$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e77…3273backed Yes77c711$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes78c705$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3c…a29ebacked No23c693$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47eb…8195backed No17c691$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c5…b4e1backed Yes77c683$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd137…ceacbacked No23c643$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.961861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+64.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed No23c620$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c9…47c1backed Yes77c605$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x656c…af94backed Yes79c591$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce55…c888backed No23c580$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1184…1b67backed No23c573$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes77c568$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.373240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04f…15babacked Yes77c562$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf8…c7afbacked No22c558$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…e8e9backed No23c546$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997f…b3c2backed Yes77c537$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8745…4805backed Yes77c520$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No23c512$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.221838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes78c508$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3e…0959backed No22c503$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.161145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc895…9bfabacked No17c499$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.331650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…91a9backed Yes78c492$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c51…a829backed Yes77c471$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7c…5a5fbacked No23c445$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…5afdbacked No23c441$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x282e…3eaabacked Yes78c439$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70e7…4a70backed Yes79c430$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9a…6fb2backed No21c430$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2b…a065backed Yes79c429$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…55d9backed No21c429$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.371127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked Yes77c406$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cb…933ebacked No22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd07…0058backed Yes77c399$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6702…0051backed No23c397$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d22…da8bbacked No23c396$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d3…53dcbacked Yes77c395$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.661442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6a…21c3backed No23c395$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked No17c388$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.81216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffd…b072backed Yes77c381$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c12…d725backed No23c381$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+85.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9e5…d252backed No22c367$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.371656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca3…9546backed Yes77c359$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.211040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6478…49f3backed No22c353$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…dd5fbacked Yes78c353$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c6c…26e0backed No23c339$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…9a60backed No23c334$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.492441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd6…019dbacked No22c334$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes77c333$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0367…1c15backed No23c333$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked No23c331$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.81546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes78c329$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.052850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd22a…ac22backed Yes77c315$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aec…fdafbacked No23c315$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92a…9134backed No21c314$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99ab…edc1backed No22c314$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4d…b46ebacked No23c310$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.991643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2d…caf4backed Yes77c301$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ef…b300backed No17c298$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed No23c296$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.91947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed No23c285$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.982850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8465…6cd7backed Yes77c285$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.981145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked No21c280$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.682642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d2…39f0backed No23c280$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x246f…0ab2backed Yes78c272$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…0c32backed No22c272$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7550%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes77c259$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.791758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed Yes78c243$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.971752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes78c240$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.562356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2950…ffeabacked No22c232$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c9…af45backed Yes77c186$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8d5…1caebacked No23c186$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…9184backed Yes78c181$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4744…e229backed No22c181$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Yes77c174$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.323050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e7e…7dfdbacked No23c163$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d23…aa07backed No17c163$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f8…6c22backed No21c157$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked No22c153$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.511560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes77c142$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a0…72f1backed No23c137$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes77c132$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.231266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5661…ef17backed Yes77c97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae4…ccecbacked No21c87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a54…db64backed Yes77c85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751a…9ea1backed Yes77c69.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.082152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+381.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe24a…fc69backed Yes77c62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.