TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xce55…c888

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category AI at 60 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+76.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$204.98
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$75.27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$84.16
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.13
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.37
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$426.76
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$485.76
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.29
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+300%+$359.25
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$372.4
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$252
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.83
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$53.89
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.4%+$185.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.15
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.32
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.14
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.56
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$211.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$405.76
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$230.4
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$417.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$252.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102.51
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$430.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.56
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$87.78
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$47.99
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.52
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$356
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$73.92
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$202.88
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$253.05
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$290.32
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$236.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+146.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$84.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$196.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$395.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$185.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$53.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$132.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$177.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.