AI · resolved market
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd95a39280b11896f61e64fa1a4502a7aa49202beebabb85acd389130448fa4cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 37c | 1,693$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…2213backed No | 30c | 1,411$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Yes | 70c | 1,371$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 51c | 1,338$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.62 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes | 71c | 1,246$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.34 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…3a73backed Yes | 71c | 1,021$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 33cpaid | +243.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 70c | 1,020$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes | 70c | 948$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…4cf6backed No | 29c | 925$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked No | 30c | 887$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…bee7backed No | 30c | 854$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 29c | 833$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked Yes | 70c | 748$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed No | 30c | 732$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…a592backed Yes | 73c | 719$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed No | 30c | 701$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…fa2bbacked Yes | 70c | 698$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed Yes | 70c | 681$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed No | 19c | 675$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed Yes | 71c | 659$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 27c | 613$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…e706backed Yes | 70c | 610$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed No | 30c | 592$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 71c | 589$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…321cbacked Yes | 71c | 564$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked No | 29c | 563$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 17c | 541$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed No | 49c | 517$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked No | 29c | 517$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…fcecbacked No | 29c | 514$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…8234backed No | 30c | 494$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…b42cbacked Yes | 70c | 466$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed No | 30c | 462$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 70c | 462$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 29c | 459$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed Yes | 71c | 459$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…0ac1backed Yes | 71c | 449$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed Yes | 71c | 423$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe024…0762backed No | 46c | 417.63$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked No | 30c | 410$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3ea7backed No | 30c | 403$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 70c | 392$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Yes | 70c | 391$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…86b7backed No | 30c | 391$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…4580backed No | 30c | 383$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed Yes | 70c | 361$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 29c | 322$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed No | 17c | 317$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed Yes | 71c | 266$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…9a7cbacked No | 5c | 249.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed No | 29c | 246$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed Yes | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +169.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 5c | 231.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed No | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked No | 29c | 219$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…fb46backed No | 29c | 203$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…7359backed No | 30c | 192$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked No | 30c | 186$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked No | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 29c | 167$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed Yes | 71c | 162$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Yes | 71c | 148$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes | 71c | 146$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked No | 17c | 135.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked No | 29c | 127$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…1307backed No | 27c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…08f7backed Yes | 70c | 102$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…99aebacked No | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…5698backed Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2f95backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…9ec8backed No | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4f8cbacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 55c | 26.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked No | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?this page
- Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Disgraziad" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Independence" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "MAGA" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Switzerland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Too late" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.