TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97ed…28e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Music at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.96
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.56
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.64
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Will Jean Smart win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.22
Will "Cold Storage" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+455.6%+$664.2
Will "Finding Her Edge" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$21.15
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$76.87
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$119.73
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$234.13
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$78.65
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$42.6
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.64
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$20.68
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$82.08
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$186.89
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$132.62
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.04
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$35.36
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$263.34
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+409.3%+$264.4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.64
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.92
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$27.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$80.62
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.7
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$47.6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.43
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$101.91
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+163.2%+$194.06
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$71.34
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$234.53
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.73
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.61
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.88
Will: Canelo Alvarez be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$74
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$747.83
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$138.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$135.66
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$199.81
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.32
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.42
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.54
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.44
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$63.07
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$125.32
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+284.6%+$178.34
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$118.8
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131.04
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$49
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$45.09
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$255.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Islami Andolan Bangladesh finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$251.72
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$132.3
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$87.89
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 82% and 84%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50.92
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$89.79
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.78
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.36
Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+77.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.16
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-36.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.54
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.3%+$144.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.55
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$29.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+733.3%+$89.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+291.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+291.9%+$385.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+284.6%+$40.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+148.8%+$404.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Texas A&M Aggies be the #6 seed in the 2025-2026 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$380.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.