Movies · resolved market
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cbac0aaaa337782d54d5b9518c238d278cf082f24da01e493e9b6d1bdc24c93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 12c | 2,706$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.68 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 7c | 1,840$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.57 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed No | 28c | 1,589$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.48 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…3dfcbacked Yes | 63c | 1,243$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 64c | 916$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 32c | 910$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed No | 16c | 844$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 68c | 786$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 18c | 750$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 37c | 711$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed No | 36c | 707$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed No | 37c | 678$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 28c | 654$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…0532backed Yes | 63c | 650$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 60cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed Yes | 64c | 644$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 16c | 635$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 64c | 625$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed No | 36c | 621$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 15c | 583.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.29 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 42c | 571$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b7d3backed No | 37c | 560$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 43c | 510$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed No | 37c | 507$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 74c | 507$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.81 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed No | 16c | 496$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c824backed Yes | 63c | 487$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 14c | 482$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.53 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed Yes | 63c | 474$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed No | 37c | 466$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…a152backed No | 40c | 449$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed Yes | 65c | 436$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 17c | 436$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.88 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 74c | 432.83$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.16 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…44d8backed Yes | 58c | 425$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 72c | 424$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked No | 28c | 423$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 37c | 401$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +123%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 43c | 397$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 37c | 390$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked No | 37c | 381$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed No | 40c | 376$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…6232backed Yes | 68c | 372$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 72c | 372$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 66c | 368$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 72c | 368$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 46c | 351$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked Yes | 63c | 346$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 39c | 342$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 40c | 340$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…457cbacked No | 16c | 338$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 8c | 336.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed No | 28c | 333$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed No | 17c | 327$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed No | 15c | 325$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 8c | 323$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.16 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 35c | 319$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Yes | 60c | 319$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 50c | 318.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed No | 28c | 305$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed Yes | 63c | 303$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed No | 37c | 303$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…4585backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 7c | 297$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.55 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…34cebacked No | 11c | 295.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked No | 36c | 295$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed No | 16c | 292$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed No | 28c | 283$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 57c | 283$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 36c | 276$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 69c | 276$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…cfc1backed Yes | 64c | 272$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 18c | 267$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed No | 37c | 267$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 17c | 263$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c3…7f5cbacked No | 9c | 257.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +474.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 58c | 253$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 11c | 252.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…b3c2backed No | 35c | 249$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 72c | 247$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 11c | 245.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 16c | 243$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…22afbacked No | 12c | 238.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +398%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked No | 45c | 237$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 43c | 237$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed No | 17c | 233$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 33c | 232.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 54c | 225$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 18c | 224$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 55c | 222$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c8…43b1backed No | 12c | 221.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 57c | 219$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 55c | 213$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed No | 39c | 209$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 54c | 207$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 16c | 204$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Yes | 61c | 199$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed No | 36c | 192$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 7c | 188.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Architecton be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Deaf President Now! be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Selena y Los Dinos be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.