TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47eb…8195

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.96
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.37
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$307.51
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.7
Will The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$73.53
Will The Traitors win Best Producer of Game & Competition TV at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250.75
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$68.04
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$51.8
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$121.39
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.88
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+57.3%+$68.16
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+39.8%+$33.88
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$38.43
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$37.92
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+614.3%+$120.4
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+61.3%+$22.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$85.8
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$160.16
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$197.6
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.04
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$607.56
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.51
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.16
Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$108.41
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.94
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.2%+$13.89
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.98
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+517.3%+$79.61
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$339.48
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.55
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$79.23
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.66
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$25.53
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.4
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.28
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.84
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$57.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.48
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$298.89
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.3
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.2
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$561
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$81.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.55
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$64.68
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+222.6%+$75.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.82
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.93
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$118.56
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.02
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$115.4
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+614.3%+$128.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$97.58
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.8
Will Partido Popular win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.9
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$115.92
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+56.3%+$12.6
Will Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.74
Will Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+240.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$38.08
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Milwaukee Panthers (W)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+609.2%+$371.09
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+279.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$66.4
Hugo Ekitike: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+71.2%+$175.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,119.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+1,119.5%+$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$377.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$78.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$187.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$92.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$166.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$155.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$531.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.