TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f9f…19b7backed No20c12,478$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,928.752227.3%6 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae2…0ddebacked No21c8,745$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,868.31942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes62c4,194$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.0823321%49 W · 184 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8613…202abacked Yes79c3,516$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes59c3,286$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.1521213.2%28 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89f…f169backed Yes64c3,032$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.654348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e1…4c1ebacked Yes69c2,848$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.942321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes57c2,815$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.1262539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes16c2,766$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2115819%30 W · 128 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…59d3backed Yes73c2,543$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.991421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45c…9e6bbacked No44c2,318$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes5c1,444$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,0678.3%89 W · 978 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81d7…2149backed Yes80c1,286$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+117.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x937e…15f9backed Yes71c1,260$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…42debacked Yes74c887.64$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes33c876.3$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8214928.2%42 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes44c828.95$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5829225%73 W · 219 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…99adbacked Yes49c827.66$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6910434.6%36 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes56c795$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.4582711%91 W · 736 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a6…abe7backed Yes71c773.78$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225f…e4e2backed Yes79c768.37$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked No28c761.09$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.312040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No28c738.64$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.210514.3%15 W · 90 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…29d1backed Yes79c697.24$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No36c683.84$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0531565.1%205 W · 110 L-1.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…cca3backed No14c649.97$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.97425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb32d…c4b8backed Yes73c630.1$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.263036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes42c596$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6d14backed Yes57c516.57$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf23e…aec3backed No58c499$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No44c463.05$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.622,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x706c…9fd0backed Yes42c399.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-72.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe853…f99cbacked Yes78c383.77$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.19450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked No73c356$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ae…57e8backed Yes27c356$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47eb…8195backed Yes46c338$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c2…1be5backed No54c338$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No23c336.43$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.993762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes75c330$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.516611.4%19 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Yes56c315.63$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7210623.6%25 W · 81 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc101…e6d1backed Yes39c290.9$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.292623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes65c281.14$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0133027.9%92 W · 238 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes61c276.71$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.481833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No22c270.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9512114%17 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8584…bbe4backed Yes75c267.19$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No41c238.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0426167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d1…2206backed Yes8c218.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.355616.1%9 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b21…bfa3backed No30c216.28$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+137.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No54c200.18$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.29058.9%53 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eee…74e8backed No5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190850%4 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+261.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes55c193.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.352339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12cc…e696backed No20c192.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+132.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8be0…df54backed Yes42c190$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb006…bddcbacked Yes58c190$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.74447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbd…3e35backed Yes69c188.78$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.147432.4%24 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39ee…d07fbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4304…a132backed No58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe13b…c6fabacked Yes58c172.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes78c167.32$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1319550.3%98 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…48c7backed Yes45c150.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685414.8%8 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4a…29f7backed No59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes76c149.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133030%9 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc116…d072backed Yes54c147.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9af8…b069backed Yes75c143.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.493525.7%9 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes55c143.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9327920.4%57 W · 222 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e4…25d5backed Yes55c138.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbad…0661backed Yes59c136.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.795230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes75c133.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6610032%32 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb302…702dbacked Yes77c131.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b09…6fc8backed Yes71c130.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1604…c826backed Yes59c128.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.642231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc962…a44dbacked Yes78c128.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2dc…e100backed Yes68c112$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.484613%6 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb37…6883backed Yes68c111.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.495735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…124abacked Yes69c107.72$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.791323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…28a8backed Yes59c102.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1110339.8%41 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9b…4327backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a82…c2c1backed Yes68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f183backed No58c97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb80…34c6backed Yes52c95.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.570%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Yes21c79.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.841010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-72.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x120e…464abacked Yes28c72.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfb…e887backed Yes77c70.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.411827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No36c69.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.247556%42 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4243…47a8backed No55c68.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.825719.3%11 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1272…778cbacked Yes77c67.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.151643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec87…8d59backed Yes77c64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes62c61.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3351018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0269…4cc9backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019527.7%54 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e27…ef09backed Yes34c58.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206711.9%8 W · 59 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf75c…0387backed Yes49c57.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f5…40dcbacked Yes46c56.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1265…b8dbbacked Yes40c50.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…935fbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2434…05eabacked Yes51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.34325.6%11 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick12cpaid+188.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256814.7%10 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dbe…e415backed Yes67c48.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No57c48.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.563158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08e2…8ec6backed Yes69c44.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…3146backed Yes75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.