TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00ff…59d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST5343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$157
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$51
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$55
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$134.5
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$71
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.5%+$58.51
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.21
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+41.8%+$59
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25.8%+$41
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$166.66
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+87.4%+$229.71
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$118.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+57.5%+$73
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$43
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38.44
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$20.32
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$89.6
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$58.43
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+144.5%+$379.11
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,853.99
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.61
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+363%+$195.99
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$69.98
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+525%+$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$23.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$123.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+114.5%+$34.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$184
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.