Middle East · resolved market
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c1765b7de04eaf914c45678e5fb1b9ce58e5f86d1d56aa6e1a9479cf733ba2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b0…4d24backed Yes | 29c | 10,379$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,393.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 58c | 9,857$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.5 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 71c | 8,696$6,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,206.58 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…2255backed No | 0c | 6,515$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…5b53backed No | 1c | 5,240$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 25c | 4,897$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.39 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a1…17e1backed No | 1c | 4,096$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…ca5bbacked No | 3c | 3,254$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…af03backed No | 16c | 2,964$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…c744backed Yes | 60c | 2,888$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 73c | 2,180$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.17 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 28c | 2,096$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.08 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -16.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…43eabacked No | 2c | 2,040$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…772fbacked No | 6c | 1,764$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 36c | 1,667$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.48 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…edabbacked No | 2c | 1,540$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,502$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…a644backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,424$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.38 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 1,346$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…57babacked No | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0b5abacked No | 2c | 1,214$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…9cc9backed No | 6c | 1,036$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 28c | 994.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.83 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf97f…23c3backed No | 21c | 992.36$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 77c | 948.09$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked Yes | 77c | 916.77$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…b927backed No | 14c | 899.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d9…973ebacked No | 3c | 869.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked No | 47c | 762$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.46 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 38c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 75c | 566.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 535.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 65c | 506.1$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.77 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked No | 5c | 477.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 34c | 451.48$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 10c | 426.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…cf7dbacked No | 65c | 417.61$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 59cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 37c | 392.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…3decbacked No | 3c | 368.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…7a11backed No | 66c | 361.68$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 55c | 356.42$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…1c87backed No | 64c | 341.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 33c | 329.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.21 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed No | 68c | 328.62$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 69c | 327.01$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…0aa8backed No | 8c | 318.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 7c | 302.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 37c | 300.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…8a05backed Yes | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…618dbacked No | 52c | 299.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 17c | 299.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed Yes | 73c | 270.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 14c | 263.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked No | 78c | 255.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed No | 16c | 255.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +20.7wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7a…95a2backed No | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 59c | 230.86$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd50…4eb6backed No | 5c | 226.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 225.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked No | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 57c | 207.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…af68backed Yes | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…66e6backed No | 33c | 197.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…13b9backed No | 55c | 186.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…8832backed No | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 8c | 153.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…8fbbbacked Yes | 79c | 140.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked No | 74c | 134.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 77c | 115.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 77c | 114.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d20bbacked Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3e…3b79backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…59d3backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…bfc1backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…5184backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Yes | 39c | 97.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…c840backed No | 74c | 95.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 29c | 93.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…0796backed Yes | 35c | 85.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 22c | 85.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…c733backed No | 72c | 83.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 68cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…905fbacked No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…e25abacked No | 66c | 82.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 14c | 81.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Yes | 19c | 74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…9f6cbacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…f903backed No | 69c | 69.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 31c | 64.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f180backed Yes | 74c | 57.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 64c | 55.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972d…99aabacked Yes | 36c | 55.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…93cdbacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.