TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ee1…e2bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
622
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT23741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 237 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$155.04
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$20.05
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$16.97
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$64.79
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Showing 25 of 237 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT5646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.39
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.7%+$345.07
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Páfos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$30.91
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+166.6%+$208.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+566.7%+$283.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$223.5
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+124.7%+$249.49
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4124.4%10 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+524.9%+$120.72
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$31.59
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.78
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.76
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+273.6%+$82.07
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.39
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+436.7%+$220.9
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$71.15
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+223.5%+$44.69
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.77
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,899.99
Will Canada win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$936.78
Will Venezuela vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$559.74
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+172%+$1,479.26
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$106.82
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$45.98
Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$115.6
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+113.2%+$229.32
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,952Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+62.8%+$1,225.8
Will Germany vs. Slovakia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$253.61
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$385
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$497.14
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+672.2%+$13,564.18
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+62.2%+$240.18
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+139.6%+$208.22
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+143.5%+$224.85
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+150%+$75
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.2%+$33.28
Will Greece vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$344.42
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT323.1%1 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick15cpaid-88.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.79
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$30
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
AWS service disrupted by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.48
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,025.05
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$560.2
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$630.2
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$7,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$7,114.43
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$173.24
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$260.79
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will María Corina Machado rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$127.22
Will Sam Altman rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$155.41
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$92.73
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$48.67
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$189.7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$140.49
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$253.11
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$204.59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+300%+$42.86
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.9%+$66.89
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$24.03
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,021.62
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$301
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+105.2%+$228.3
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$842.23
Will Getafe win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$283.83
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$155.35
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$251.29
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.63
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.86
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.11
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$428.37
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.81
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.69
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$451.74
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.63
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.95
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$73.91
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+278.9%+$138.12
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+315.8%+$78.38
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$676.07
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$132.73
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$64.68
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+160.3%+$481.67
SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+185.7%+$91.65
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$531.76
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$196.73
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+131%+$272.12
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$409.38
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+146%+$2,628.64
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+72.8%+$145.54
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+107.9%+$98.75
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+83%+$124.52
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$210.59
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$151.43
Will FCSB win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$243.66
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$339.55
Will PAOK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$273.55
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+45.5%+$90.94
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$107.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$10.12
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$262.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.74
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$257.29
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+478.7%+$258.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.7%+$82.88
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Silver · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+176.1%+$120.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.75
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171.02
Will Trump and Zelenskyy only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+300%+$150
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$285.42
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$172.2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.61
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+100%+$26.61
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$366
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100.12
Hong Kong Election: Geographical Constituency Seat Turnover >40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+57.7%+$6.34
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 4+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$53.26
Will Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Keir Starmer say "Emergency" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29.2
Will Keir Starmer say "Footing" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$58.11
Will Keir Starmer say "G20" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$39.39
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$52.62
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: Borussia Dortmund (-1.5)backed Borussia Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+159.4%+$159.44
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.5%+$56.49
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$48.07
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61.1%+$785.28
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+129.9%+$129.89
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+82.4%+$307.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple reach $284 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Google dip to $285 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Apple reach $300 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Google dip to $300 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.72
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $285 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+175.3%+$510.25
Will Apple dip to $264 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+234.1%+$69.41
Will Netflix reach $119 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $170 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+44.9%+$70.99
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 10 above $285?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$82.22
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,225.7
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.9%+$7.97
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,386.88
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+222.9%+$358.95
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,193.34
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-72.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.49
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.88
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$71.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick64cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$4.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.