Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774cf5cb83043b7d684cb44f1691acae1b2e18c8aeeba42d4e14a87646825cbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,065,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,189,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,065,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 15c | 137,731$20,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,072.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…ed82backed Yes | 3c | 31,666$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8972…c3d5backed Yes | 10c | 20,849$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 1c | 20,750$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…95a2backed Yes | 2c | 17,618$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 2c | 17,024$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 14,131$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.15 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked Yes | 4c | 13,715$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.29 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 10,300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed Yes | 3c | 10,209$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.37 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 7c | 9,428$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.86 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 16c | 7,692$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked Yes | 13c | 6,699$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +232.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 6,635$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.52 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 5c | 6,573$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.25 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…b537backed Yes | 0c | 6,090$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 6,035$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 10c | 5,715$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.22 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 19c | 5,610$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.9 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 6c | 5,470$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…61bbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,393$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…bebdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed No | 72c | 4,456$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.98 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 4,207$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…38bbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc244…caf6backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…99f2backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595e…19bfbacked No | 78c | 4,000$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…12bbbacked No | 70c | 4,000$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 51c | 3,829$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.69 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 74c | 3,395$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.35 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…7614backed Yes | 19c | 3,150$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…f049backed Yes | 18c | 3,022$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 77c | 3,017$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ad…77cdbacked Yes | 14c | 2,985$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed No | 23c | 2,900$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 2,893$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…0f89backed No | 74c | 2,873$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,853$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…6943backed Yes | 8c | 2,839$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 4c | 2,833$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 77c | 2,821$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…5c57backed Yes | 11c | 2,692$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 2,657$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…066fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,640$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.61 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,508$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…c8d5backed No | 66c | 2,500$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc09c…672dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,500$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,491$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,441$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 2,423$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.02 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…32b5backed Yes | 2c | 2,356$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 4c | 2,338$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…1b8dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,300$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…eecfbacked No | 72c | 2,300$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked Yes | 22c | 2,280$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…cc76backed No | 71c | 2,200$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,100$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 2c | 2,098$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,077$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 3c | 2,073$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked No | 63c | 2,037$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.26 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…b4d5backed Yes | 10c | 2,001$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…683ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 61c | 1,902$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.69 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,889$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…ab04backed Yes | 22c | 1,867$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d71…241dbacked No | 71c | 1,800$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 29c | 1,775$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.11 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 78c | 1,722$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.39 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…9aebbacked Yes | 22c | 1,700$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…3327backed No | 72c | 1,700$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 12c | 1,637$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 11c | 1,526$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…dec2backed Yes | 2c | 1,506$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…526ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 69c | 1,499$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.59 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 33c | 1,450$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.45 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 15c | 1,447$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…35eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,439$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…bbbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,409$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 21c | 1,337$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.33 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 63c | 1,294$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.82 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…cabebacked Yes | 16c | 1,257$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.83 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,224$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked No | 76c | 1,189$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0492…f3f1backed Yes | 10c | 1,157$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 2c | 1,151$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,145$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…8700backed Yes | 4c | 1,115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…42babacked Yes | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…8d92backed Yes | 11c | 1,096$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…fec9backed Yes | 9c | 1,093$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…b3c9backed No | 66c | 1,087$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 1c | 1,079$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4df…6a6fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,059$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.