TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f19…bf1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst IPO at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5343.4%23 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.84
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of June 22 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of June 22 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$59.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+269.8%+$168.96
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$49.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of June 8 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+115%+$69.01
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$195.42
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.51
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$41.88
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 Week of June 1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$58.3
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$25.83
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+210.7%+$27.81
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+27.1%+$5.42
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25.8%+$5.16
Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25%+$12.22
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.21
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56%+$11.2
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+167.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+118.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$17.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.