TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$443,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$402,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes45c121,113$54,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,174.4110930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No41c52,725$21,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,357.7611921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No54c34,000$18,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,439.9193840.2%377 W · 561 L-69.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4060…3ec3backed No59c12,034$7,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,078.1929264%187 W · 105 L+47.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No61c11,891$7,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,216.799745.4%44 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b16…7346backed No28c7,959$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.39757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbab…9a8abacked No62c6,869$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,270.08955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes36c6,697$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,266.125143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc271…1708backed No44c5,901$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.553764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No55c5,471$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.312751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f8…325fbacked No65c5,265$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,413.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0507244.4%32 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No34c4,909$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.7427322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff3…8c08backed No29c4,866$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.922755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked No28c4,735$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.5411736.8%43 W · 74 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No27c4,547$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.86934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f17…519ebacked No74c4,071$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe2…8c49backed No48c4,030$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9406761.2%41 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked No6c3,397$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.85454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7101833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed Yes43c2,928$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.986346%29 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d5c…55dfbacked No58c2,626$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.765834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes35c2,620$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.467041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38bf…28e2backed Yes61c2,371$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.982330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes54c2,274$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.1514031.4%44 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No38c2,246$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.9430839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes34c2,211$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.112650%13 W · 13 L+6.8wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No6c2,096$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8823323.6%55 W · 178 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda14…a40cbacked No62c2,040$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.353036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa2ff…6ab4backed Yes74c2,017$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.811833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0d…fbb3backed No48c1,927$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.433562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed Yes36c1,831$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba62…58e9backed Yes42c1,803$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed No38c1,771$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.2311628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Yes44c1,700$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f1…39b2backed No60c1,678$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed No59c1,650$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.12147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No30c1,649$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5939034.4%134 W · 256 L-33.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ad2…7e40backed No2c1,603$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed Yes44c1,587$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.7810148.5%49 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56f0…1c37backed No1c1,500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.74639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes48c1,494$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.577538.7%29 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked No61c1,410$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.533141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked No11c1,408$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.86948.5%8 W · 86 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7124…70c1backed No59c1,400$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8192343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0493…1177backed No68c1,305$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.82862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes51c1,228$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.061,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4867…a6f8backed No65c1,204$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.99758.8%57 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No30c1,199$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.172653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1dc…c05fbacked No4c1,161$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb3…b498backed No27c1,159$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked No62c1,100$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.9914849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b6…897cbacked Yes51c1,100$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef5…c90bbacked No46c1,077$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4992842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x708d…ea78backed No18c1,069$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.091118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-68.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked No19c1,068$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.617525.3%19 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes44c1,055$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.7529436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac3e…8150backed No59c1,031$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.914447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes31c1,029$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.337044.3%31 W · 39 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207711.7%9 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f3…d6ddbacked No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf35…9a45backed No7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702119%4 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No42c968.69$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.92536%9 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0408…856bbacked No58c959.95$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes52c929.98$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.0329747.5%141 W · 156 L+34.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No9c926.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.751,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd36b…3d32backed No64c900$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.871827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1c7…d291backed No16c900$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2a…e8a9backed No20c845.48$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.843116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b57…20b1backed No13c821.7$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.011747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked No66c800$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…3e6ebacked Yes38c799.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+85.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No54c799.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.995662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No61c799.97$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.982941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked No54c789.3$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.093056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fc9…ec4bbacked No55c781.88$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.11921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No60c781.81$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.183348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1879…3fdcbacked No36c733.32$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed No14c724.87$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.664634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd3…5cf0backed Yes48c689.99$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3611145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…9d74backed No55c683.76$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.953641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a8…70b3backed No33c650.01$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.171338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a5…1f45backed No55c619.99$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec09…1db9backed No6c611.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.864621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes47c603.73$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.825841.4%24 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab3…d47cbacked No13c600$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x551e…a42dbacked Yes51c577.83$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.431526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-59.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked No58c573.48$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.625115.7%8 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x709b…0a0abacked Yes35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…aa53backed Yes64c568.97$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.973158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9dc1backed No27c562.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e84…8e88backed No70c537$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.35862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d8…8bd6backed No47c508.9$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x472a…2dadbacked No70c466.96$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd640…480cbacked No61c466.47$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.23941%16 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73b9…47c4backed No49c460.48$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.053016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed No7c447.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.321010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-84.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes62c427.4$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.112348.8%60 W · 63 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5942…90f3backed No54c400$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-58.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.