TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x573e…703cbacked Yes5c30,000$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.0150%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes9c14,530$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.5711921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7d…a286backed Yes3c4,546$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.61010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-71.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes9c3,447$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.46454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aea…b686backed Yes34c3,003$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.932450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Yes4c2,259$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.721921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c2,214$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.221,0329.3%96 W · 936 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c2,170$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.712221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes25c1,972$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.86934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77da…2fd2backed No80c1,966$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38bf…28e2backed Yes19c1,716$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.242330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a90…68fbbacked No69c1,700$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.091181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes18c1,454$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.063718.9%7 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No62c1,222$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.369745.4%44 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25db…28debacked Yes1c1,221$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.549317.2%16 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed No77c1,182$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.534360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc6…7306backed Yes13c1,100$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383713.5%5 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes30c1,048$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2929436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes9c1,008$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9734534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed Yes25c975.72$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.694634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes20c929.89$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6327322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c927.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3920624.8%51 W · 155 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes6c837.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.11,28624.2%311 W · 975 L-58.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No75c807.14$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.52050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed No78c782.29$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.144042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No71c650$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1913928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8d7…6f40backed Yes24c595.92$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.761050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+106.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299b…47b9backed Yes3c590.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0590%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes3c582.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b3…a039backed Yes6c506.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31180%0 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104930.6%15 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7789…a280backed No71c499.99$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461030%3 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick63cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Yes33c499.95$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.981020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-61.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0706…16e3backed Yes23c461.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes4c454.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5619923.1%46 W · 153 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d97…d127backed Yes20c439.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.44027.5%11 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2178…aab5backed Yes6c434.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc271…1708backed No70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.573764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bf6…50e2backed No66c399.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes23c301.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705058%29 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x378b…4c2cbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes34c262.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes20c255.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.345623.2%13 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…35acbacked No69c250.02$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.042171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46ea…a98fbacked No80c218.75$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e1…3245backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed7b…dc73backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes22c180$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.11118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed Yes29c172.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.614146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c2…881bbacked Yes21c168.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes24c155.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.314214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09fd…b61ebacked Yes20c153.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.783016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed No78c152.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-66.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes33c127.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.57538.7%29 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff6…1369backed No79c126.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.844050%20 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19df…e8c7backed No77c116.59$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b46…625fbacked Yes20c115.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc045…92f1backed Yes21c113.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes28c108.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.618540.5%75 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed16…51e3backed No67c107.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.691540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Yes34c102.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8860%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297727.3%21 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.16141%25 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236f…1b31backed Yes25c99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x551e…a42dbacked Yes37c92.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.631526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-59.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9849…dc6fbacked No65c87.3$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.122227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x43a7…0b46backed Yes21c83.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.425628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes17c78.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7421815.6%34 W · 184 L-37.8wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-68.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xf38f…67adbacked Yes27c74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b8d…458abacked Yes31c66.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0d…2897backed Yes36c64.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes24c61.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb49…c150backed Yes25c60.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…64f5backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8467…f9e4backed Yes35c50.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a87…770ebacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87857.7%45 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fd…ca7cbacked No66c37.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4e…7c90backed No70c34.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e6…4f6cbacked Yes37c31.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.692524%6 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No68c23.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6412829.7%38 W · 90 L-15.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-55.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba20…97fabacked No66c22.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefc…58febacked No70c21.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb83…42d5backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.210967%73 W · 36 L+12.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78c5…f623backed No74c18.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.812630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.