Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bcc5cf4950031b056a2b2839bd486617d6cb087b0518e45b81874ebee90bf7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $806,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 13c | 231,645$29,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,289.71 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 73c | 36,947$27,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,052.55 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 12c | 20,193$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,771.35 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 78c | 17,401$13,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,540.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 34c | 13,237$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.18 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 47c | 12,900$6,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 34c | 11,097$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,354.34 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 14c | 11,027$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,497.07 | 292 | 36.3%106 W · 186 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 29c | 8,037$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.64 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 56c | 6,971$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 33c | 5,766$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.29 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 19c | 5,620$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,527.24 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No | 76c | 5,278$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.02 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 19c | 4,539$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.12 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 19c | 4,105$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 58c | 4,092$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.27 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed No | 67c | 3,998$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 8c | 3,630$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked Yes | 36c | 2,783$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.11 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…c577backed Yes | 16c | 2,600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…1575backed Yes | 32c | 2,494$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 2,291$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.06 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a280backed No | 58c | 2,238$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,223$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 2,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.35 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…bec8backed Yes | 11c | 2,082$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +355.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.95 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…6ab4backed Yes | 16c | 1,983$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…07b9backed Yes | 51c | 1,970$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 2c | 1,712$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 45c | 1,570$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +174.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…8cd8backed Yes | 58c | 1,553$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 24c | 1,551$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.65 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 67c | 1,530$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 39c | 1,463$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.36 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…80aebacked No | 6c | 1,400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 24cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 6c | 1,365$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 23c | 1,360$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.1 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed No | 60c | 1,241$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed No | 60c | 1,144$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…3b04backed Yes | 18c | 1,120$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 47c | 1,111$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.52 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 8c | 1,012$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.92 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…8cdbbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 21c | 999.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.81 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 76c | 976.11$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.42 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed No | 71c | 972.73$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.48 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 26c | 910$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.57 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Yes | 12c | 860$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 8c | 800$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 722.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 55c | 720$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…ff78backed No | 78c | 700$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 79c | 699.98$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked No | 64c | 697.71$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 53c | 691.69$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.06 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 71c | 686.08$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…9371backed No | 79c | 662$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 78c | 660$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.8 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 68c | 614.13$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 39c | 604.62$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.97 | 304 | 38.8%118 W · 186 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d55…f488backed No | 57c | 603$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…1db9backed No | 74c | 582.62$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 8c | 577.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.17 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ed…805bbacked No | 77c | 572.97$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 6c | 555$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 19c | 531.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.57 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…9977backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa176…08c2backed No | 78c | 495$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…43bfbacked Yes | 23c | 464.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked No | 58c | 450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 60c | 450$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yes | 26c | 435$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes | 47c | 431.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked No | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed No | 51c | 425.4$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…e04dbacked No | 73c | 424.66$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 24c | 423.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 18cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 40c | 411.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…4bb8backed No | 49c | 403.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Yes | 50c | 399.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed No | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 7c | 397.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked No | 63c | 382.13$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 56c | 325$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 37c | 323.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 60c | 317.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 9c | 309.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…6d06backed Yes | 16c | 306.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a71…78c9backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…553cbacked Yes | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…aab5backed No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.