TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x573e…703cbacked Yes10c26,500$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.5950%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes0c9,071$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71707.1%5 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18b…3917backed Yes3c8,582$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1610126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes38c6,800$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5846325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed No49c5,677$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.784360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes1c5,409$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.527727.3%21 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38bf…28e2backed Yes30c4,654$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.182330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…b686backed Yes71c4,445$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.112450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…3ec3backed Yes53c3,766$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98429264%187 W · 105 L+47.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes37c3,416$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.37244.4%32 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed No55c3,200$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.321275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes3c2,803$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.282221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ea…7530backed Yes7c2,725$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab4…e253backed No80c2,626$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.34771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8658…0d47backed Yes4c2,604$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,458$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.841,0249.1%93 W · 931 L-25.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes4c2,180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9419923.1%46 W · 153 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x453b…1575backed Yes55c2,170$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.95580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+159.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes37c2,158$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.056934.8%24 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed No35c2,099$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.8110148.5%49 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed No67c2,053$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.446346%29 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfe2…8c49backed No51c1,938$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.196761.2%41 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Yes38c1,900$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-61.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes16c1,890$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7434534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Yes19c1,883$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.741921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No48c1,834$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.5111921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes13c1,798$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.11454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc271…1708backed No39c1,772$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.313764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes9c1,682$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked No66c1,671$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.1429236.3%106 W · 186 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No74c1,639$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.6614031.4%44 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes5c1,484$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707526.7%20 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes49c1,403$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.329447.3%139 W · 155 L+34.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x25db…28debacked Yes5c1,339$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.789317.2%16 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes8c1,321$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.721216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6341backed Yes8c1,306$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.89119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-87.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc848…537bbacked Yes24c1,236$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.131662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+53.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed36…e096backed Yes8c1,214$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No61c1,200$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.312050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c1,102$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5720624.8%51 W · 155 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked No54c999.93$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.977044.3%31 W · 39 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e15…a0eebacked No60c933.67$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.031250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes6c892.06$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4811212.5%14 W · 98 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes12c852.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes40c803.21$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.31838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes9c736.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.58397.7%3 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-80.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed Yes7c735.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x027c…6ecdbacked No64c666.72$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick28cpaid+159.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes50c537$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.263718.9%7 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe652…d114backed No61c531.74$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.583053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No64c522.91$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2530238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db3…744bbacked Yes3c514.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes6c508.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.42229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes52c499.95$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.975560%33 W · 22 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09fd…b61ebacked Yes29c456.65$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.073016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes51c387.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.635525.5%14 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes52c363.01$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.845343.4%23 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x378b…4c2cbacked Yes39c352.69$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.612642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes58c352.07$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055058%29 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed No27c332$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.354634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc341…9a9fbacked Yes35c325.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes7c314.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+77.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf179…fd27backed Yes45c308.3$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14070%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed No35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1957334.2%25 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes33c285$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.962240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes26c273.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7827322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236f…1b31backed Yes56c269.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43af…c62ebacked No58c259.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.021172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a3…076ebacked Yes6c257.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked No41c255$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.455070%35 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff6…1369backed Yes37c252.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.934050%20 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.53056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x59b3…a039backed Yes7c229.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33180%0 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d7…11b2backed Yes9c220$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.473517.1%6 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes59c218.86$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.794214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27a…1c07backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes7c193.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.056114.8%9 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb51…1a2cbacked No32c178.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.69875%6 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+120.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b16…7346backed Yes78c171.21$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed Yes38c171.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.624047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked No30c169.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.394240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd226…35acbacked No47c164.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.292171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6149…8d2cbacked Yes62c162.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d46…feefbacked No64c155.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6214…20d1backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb03e…1091backed No59c152.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.981275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…8bbdbacked Yes48c152.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153070%21 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5a…0c7cbacked No36c139.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66b…02aabacked Yes42c138.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.051533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0d…fbb3backed No48c135$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.23562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes45c128.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2417752%92 W · 85 L+20.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed No47c111$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.566933.3%23 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes23c109.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.427455.4%41 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ded…fbcdbacked Yes34c108$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.721844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb827…648fbacked Yes10c102.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes28c102.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11,26524.5%310 W · 955 L-56.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.