TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91b3…77d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%0 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.95
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.54
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.12
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.59
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.22
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.45
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.89
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.4
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Newport: Mei Yamaguchi vs Greet Minnenbacked Mei Yamaguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.11
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Alexandra Eala be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tienbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.79
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+338.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+1,810.5%+$195.03
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+1,497.3%+$269.26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+77.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+1,321.4%+$246.22
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick4cpaid+181.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.