Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadebd6bbf401c9509dd2e78b65a16b567f1f386dccd8cac86cd389bb53ec3a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,649,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,833,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,649,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 687 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 15c | 381,647$58,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,394.78 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 10c | 180,622$17,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,933.46 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…ea9dbacked Yes | 10c | 134,122$13,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,601.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 70,289$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.66 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…5214backed Yes | 7c | 65,954$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 3c | 65,144$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.78 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 7c | 49,482$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.35 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 14c | 43,779$6,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.09 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 12c | 42,855$5,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,171.92 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 9c | 34,853$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.44 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 17c | 34,428$5,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.29 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…38bbbacked No | 69c | 32,680$22,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,122.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…7b1fbacked No | 67c | 26,551$17,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,781.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…716bbacked Yes | 45c | 25,000$11,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3270backed Yes | 28c | 24,775$6,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,891.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 57c | 24,255$13,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,314.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 29c | 21,877$6,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,345.68 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…63c7backed Yes | 4c | 21,811$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 28c | 20,048$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…3028backed Yes | 42c | 19,126$8,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,015.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…e025backed Yes | 19c | 18,939$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 5c | 16,558$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.03 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…4978backed Yes | 34c | 15,959$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 10c | 15,726$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 5c | 14,928$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.75 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…093abacked Yes | 26c | 14,476$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…08fbbacked Yes | 14c | 13,902$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 75c | 13,758$10,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…56d0backed No | 67c | 11,860$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes | 7c | 11,216$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.79 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…def9backed Yes | 2c | 10,867$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 6c | 10,438$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.68 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes | 6c | 10,424$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.85 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.71 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…cea7backed Yes | 9c | 9,904$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.4 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 32c | 9,595$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.67 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 10c | 9,462$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 8c | 8,741$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.71 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 18c | 8,645$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.04 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 11c | 8,529$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.51 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Yes | 9c | 8,347$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…7143backed Yes | 29c | 8,183$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…3335backed Yes | 10c | 7,501$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…fffbbacked Yes | 27c | 7,468$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +110%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 10c | 7,095$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.35 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed No | 72c | 6,985$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 12c | 6,895$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 10c | 6,893$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.86 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 10c | 6,754$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes | 7c | 6,585$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.68 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,499$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.27 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 12c | 6,405$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 6c | 6,367$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.21 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 10c | 6,214$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…abd7backed Yes | 32c | 5,889$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 22c | 5,687$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.32 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…5c72backed Yes | 10c | 5,592$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…81ccbacked Yes | 8c | 5,522$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…a95dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,263$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +245.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 72c | 5,153$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d31…53febacked Yes | 13c | 5,091$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 57c | 5,055$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.29 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 10c | 5,007$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 19c | 5,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 10c | 4,899$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.84 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…dc18backed Yes | 11c | 4,768$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…e66cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,656$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde11…051abacked Yes | 8c | 4,647$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 36c | 4,633$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.83 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed Yes | 21c | 4,628$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 4,500$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 12c | 4,500$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…378abacked Yes | 10c | 4,365$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 63c | 4,341$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.2 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…3090backed Yes | 5c | 4,319$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…ad45backed Yes | 26c | 4,237$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 77c | 4,176$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Yes | 25c | 4,024$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 27c | 3,984$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.28 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,944$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…5e5bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,929$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 54c | 3,903$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 30c | 3,867$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.63 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 3,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 9c | 3,600$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 24c | 3,546$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,542$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…9861backed Yes | 14c | 3,541$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…a475backed Yes | 21c | 3,534$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…5564backed Yes | 12c | 3,471$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 7c | 3,382$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…608bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,367$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 43c | 3,339$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.