TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,649,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,833,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,649,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 687 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes15c381,647$58,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,394.7863835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes10c180,622$17,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,933.4635123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b4…ea9dbacked Yes10c134,122$13,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,601.5240%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c70,289$5,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,659.6628113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c07…5214backed Yes7c65,954$4,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed Yes3c65,144$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.7811813.6%16 W · 102 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+281.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Yes7c49,482$3,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.353010%3 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes14c43,779$6,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,293.09248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…251ebacked Yes12c42,855$5,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,171.9211720.5%24 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ec…d630backed Yes9c34,853$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.44729.7%7 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes17c34,428$5,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,906.2928021.1%59 W · 221 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e5…38bbbacked No69c32,680$22,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,122.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17a…7b1fbacked No67c26,551$17,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,781.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab4…716bbacked Yes45c25,000$11,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,27510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf412…3270backed Yes28c24,775$6,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,891.681330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb2…99a3backed No57c24,255$13,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,314.482065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes29c21,877$6,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,345.6819535.4%69 W · 126 L-13.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc1b…63c7backed Yes4c21,811$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.2940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf394…ad79backed Yes28c20,048$5,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,684.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a88…3028backed Yes42c19,126$8,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,015.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156d…e025backed Yes19c18,939$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.111315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes5c16,558$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.03430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ba…4978backed Yes34c15,959$5,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,378.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x530e…cc11backed Yes10c15,726$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5256123%14 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+143.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes5c14,928$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.75480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe983…093abacked Yes26c14,476$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.121428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc2…08fbbacked Yes14c13,902$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No75c13,758$10,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.791560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fba…56d0backed No67c11,860$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,860.13887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes7c11,216$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.791711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe06b…def9backed Yes2c10,867$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7820…5723backed Yes6c10,438$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.683514.3%5 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes6c10,424$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.85175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid+15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1437…acfebacked Yes0c10,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121625%4 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-65.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes9c10,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0366…a001backed Yes5c10,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb392…fc73backed Yes18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.714912.2%6 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57bc…cea7backed Yes9c9,904$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.4170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…d8e7backed Yes32c9,595$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.6711330.1%34 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes10c9,462$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.643438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfdd…5585backed Yes8c8,741$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.71195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd143…83ecbacked Yes18c8,645$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.0410221.6%22 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8888…0b39backed Yes11c8,529$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.513234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Yes9c8,347$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.6640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0c…7143backed Yes29c8,183$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e91…3335backed Yes10c7,501$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.931010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…fffbbacked Yes27c7,468$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+110%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes10c7,095$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.351288.6%11 W · 117 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bdc…e8b0backed No72c6,985$5,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.562356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes12c6,895$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8205117.6%9 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes10c6,893$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.868713.8%12 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe328…9f4abacked Yes10c6,754$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615925.4%15 W · 44 L-12.2wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes7c6,585$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.68160%0 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x027e…c97fbacked Yes5c6,499$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.274522.2%10 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505e…affcbacked Yes12c6,405$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7764231%13 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x59bb…6d65backed Yes6c6,367$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.21456.7%3 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-89.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x453a…81d2backed Yes10c6,214$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.7280%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1709…abd7backed Yes32c5,889$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.941631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick22cpaid-9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes22c5,687$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.324330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e72…5c72backed Yes10c5,592$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.3550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa465…81ccbacked Yes8c5,522$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1bb…a95dbacked Yes2c5,263$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+245.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb26c…0eb0backed No72c5,153$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d31…53febacked Yes13c5,091$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.5790%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked No57c5,055$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.291488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab7…d144backed Yes10c5,007$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500478.5%4 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick16cpaid+31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes19c5,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed No78c5,000$3,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1054564.4%29 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed No73c5,000$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes24c5,000$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.99922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+97.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes10c4,899$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.84250%0 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8873…dc18backed Yes11c4,768$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.511050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a47…e66cbacked Yes8c4,656$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.671533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde11…051abacked Yes8c4,647$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes36c4,633$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.8313624.3%33 W · 103 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaef0…4806backed Yes21c4,628$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.321216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes6c4,500$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes12c4,500$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.56723.9%16 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+111.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a1…378abacked Yes10c4,365$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6110%0 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked No63c4,341$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.24934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482f…3090backed Yes5c4,319$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939c…ad45backed Yes26c4,237$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.161428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No77c4,176$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.471533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Yes25c4,024$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff72…cdaabacked No52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…51e0backed Yes27c3,984$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.2814019.3%27 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x784d…d27dbacked Yes22c3,944$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.22729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf92…5e5bbacked Yes10c3,929$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.511020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-71.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed No54c3,903$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.043046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes30c3,867$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.63110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes1c3,750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30402.5%1 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes9c3,600$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.757020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes24c3,546$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.171315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16f…655cbacked Yes5c3,542$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.312313%3 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25e…9861backed Yes14c3,541$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3739…a475backed Yes21c3,534$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31bd…5564backed Yes12c3,471$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe886…e553backed Yes7c3,382$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.13166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d0…608bbacked Yes8c3,367$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes43c3,339$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.