Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6f2c7437b15b808a6be3ea61fc125077e35ce7cc55b66fdbf15f7ce22493ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,474,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,264,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,474,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 678 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 28c | 109,518$30,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,887.86 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…7b1fbacked No | 65c | 79,999$51,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,046.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 64c | 69,342$44,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,855.04 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…703cbacked Yes | 22c | 36,000$7,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,805.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…b127backed No | 59c | 34,499$20,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,975.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 80c | 25,187$20,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.69 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 36c | 24,428$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.43 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 27c | 21,044$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.19 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 22c | 20,005$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.42 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…c244backed Yes | 0c | 18,025$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 9c | 17,586$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.74 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f6…a073backed Yes | 5c | 16,530$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…4cf3backed No | 73c | 16,356$11,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,154$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 6c | 16,054$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.49 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed Yes | 2c | 15,787$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 13,178$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.93 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Yes | 17c | 12,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8a…4362backed Yes | 1c | 12,169$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 33c | 11,494$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 25c | 11,255$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 78c | 10,775$8,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fc…3837backed Yes | 48c | 10,614$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4530…9378backed Yes | 32c | 10,600$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa321…11e3backed Yes | 0c | 8,790$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 75c | 8,596$6,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.49 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 7,523$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.35 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 22c | 7,134$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.15 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…52c4backed Yes | 2c | 6,447$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +842%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 11c | 6,176$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.02 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 29c | 6,067$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.49 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 30c | 6,001$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.47 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes | 11c | 5,910$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes | 34c | 5,870$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 80c | 5,625$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.33 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…9f2ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,494$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 12c | 5,020$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.42 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,962$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 3c | 4,926$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 4c | 4,877$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 4c | 4,859$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 70c | 4,850$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.41 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed Yes | 29c | 4,778$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.19 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…9d5cbacked Yes | 36c | 4,737$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…59c6backed Yes | 23c | 4,709$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…32cbbacked Yes | 16c | 4,538$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…4280backed Yes | 4c | 4,490$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 57c | 4,393$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…0285backed Yes | 35c | 4,270$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,264$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 4c | 4,066$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…c25bbacked No | 62c | 4,016$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Yes | 13c | 3,967$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 4c | 3,780$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 19c | 3,749$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.84 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 25c | 3,742$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.92 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,605$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.73 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…aa97backed No | 68c | 3,502$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…efc9backed Yes | 21c | 3,358$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 27c | 3,280$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 25c | 3,227$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…b90abacked Yes | 25c | 3,190$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…da92backed Yes | 1c | 3,189$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 1c | 3,180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 27c | 3,093$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 32c | 2,944$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,611$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 58c | 2,586$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.44 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked No | 62c | 2,500$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 16c | 2,495$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 2c | 2,489$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…6767backed Yes | 18c | 2,458$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8b2ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,452$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…30eebacked Yes | 22c | 2,400$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…85e6backed Yes | 21c | 2,394$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…108dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,347$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…c21abacked Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…22dfbacked Yes | 8c | 2,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…6c4dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,236$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 12c | 2,197$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.26 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 75c | 2,133$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.41 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…0a9cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,082$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…b80cbacked Yes | 30c | 2,060$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 17c | 2,050$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…9c8cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,018$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…726bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,004$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.89 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…6d06backed Yes | 18c | 1,989$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…fa4abacked Yes | 4c | 1,915$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…3476backed Yes | 1c | 1,888$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Yes | 8c | 1,880$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.