Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d776edce6e8286dc3cd2befc7290961a4af1ae3dfe91e8a3fa61dbf372ec1a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $529,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $529,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed9f…1097backed Yes | 3c | 73,995$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 75c | 22,238$16,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.4 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 80c | 18,400$14,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 24c | 8,454$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.8 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed No | 63c | 7,523$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 79c | 7,390$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.18 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 16c | 5,890$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.13 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 1c | 5,467$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 66c | 5,275$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.65 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…0bcdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,098$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 3c | 4,273$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 2c | 4,027$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 72c | 3,498$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 67c | 3,252$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.75 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 3,030$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.31 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 34c | 2,872$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc731…2083backed No | 72c | 2,784$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e79…2a54backed Yes | 1c | 2,499$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 26c | 2,380$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.43 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d31…53febacked Yes | 46c | 2,367$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 69c | 2,233$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.33 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 26c | 2,226$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.78 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 76c | 2,020$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.31 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed No | 71c | 1,999$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 1,846$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…1007backed Yes | 2c | 1,799$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…d472backed Yes | 25c | 1,365$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…8d57backed Yes | 31c | 1,291$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 32c | 1,256$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,171$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 62c | 1,100$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…8ca4backed No | 78c | 1,016$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…9017backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…b793backed Yes | 10c | 987.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed Yes | 17c | 886$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…d5c4backed No | 56c | 865.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 30c | 833.93$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 78c | 831.86$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes | 36c | 825.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…1007backed Yes | 2c | 799.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Yes | 12c | 784.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…9f1cbacked Yes | 41c | 736.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 15c | 682.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5106…2bacbacked No | 67c | 638.87$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…fa4abacked Yes | 6c | 626.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…ff78backed No | 64c | 600$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…f824backed Yes | 45c | 546.53$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…0f83backed Yes | 37c | 512.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 23c | 499.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 44c | 452.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70d0…918ebacked Yes | 24c | 441.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7f…bb65backed No | 78c | 423.21$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…59e8backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…a091backed Yes | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…37b7backed No | 78c | 385.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 47c | 380.45$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 72c | 378.12$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…de72backed Yes | 7c | 357.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…0413backed Yes | 30c | 337.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…db93backed Yes | 12c | 285.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…3c9fbacked No | 56c | 284.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes | 15c | 270$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 24c | 266$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 28c | 263.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2009…678cbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a71…78c9backed No | 68c | 252.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…3e18backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 41c | 244.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 78c | 241.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a5…9fd4backed Yes | 7c | 230$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Yes | 37c | 229.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…b39bbacked Yes | 36c | 229.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed No | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…6f0bbacked No | 65c | 199.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Yes | 22c | 199.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 6c | 184.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…15e1backed No | 61c | 164.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…8f59backed No | 74c | 161.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…f5e7backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…f959backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…47b6backed No | 76c | 148.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…3f6abacked Yes | 40c | 146.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 76c | 132.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…ad45backed Yes | 39c | 132.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…e5b0backed Yes | 34c | 127.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c6…26aebacked Yes | 15c | 107$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Yes | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…3f70backed Yes | 24c | 105.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.