TailMyPicks
Market

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,665,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,550,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,665,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes29c107,654$31,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,089.3763835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked No56c101,911$56,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,347.9719535.4%69 W · 126 L-13.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No39c50,809$19,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,096.232070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes38c40,479$15,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,382.6787828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes31c34,218$10,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,566.191833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8daf…8c4abacked No64c30,548$19,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,078.13100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed Yes4c20,755$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.4590%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606417.2%11 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes34c18,000$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,159.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes2c17,955$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes2c17,937$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.43205%1 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-80.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes32c15,724$5,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,071.8114337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No69c15,000$10,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,608.8428113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No64c15,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.993724.3%9 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes36c13,720$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed No6c12,987$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,153.056613.6%9 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…e383backed Yes2c12,788$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7904.4%4 W · 86 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes51c12,600$6,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,468.971533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes15c11,867$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.051288.6%11 W · 117 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf7d…a286backed Yes3c11,352$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x049b…5a12backed Yes3c11,268$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.11387.9%3 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+403.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8888…0b39backed No53c11,118$5,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,227.713234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe474…1508backed No59c11,057$6,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,558.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x515e…8309backed No67c10,500$7,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes7c10,286$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.870%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfdd…5585backed Yes3c10,000$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.31195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8d…299cbacked No60c9,032$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.784047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x075e…1840backed Yes3c8,422$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.162910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-81%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes2c8,275$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001466.2%9 W · 137 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed No78c8,239$6,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.947156.3%40 W · 31 L+14.8wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+113.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb31a…7bccbacked No75c8,160$6,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes3c7,639$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.11480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe4…01b7backed No64c7,369$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.316835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de1…e0debacked No36c7,224$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,613.392055%11 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x06dc…4524backed No69c7,085$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.116253.7%87 W · 75 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes36c7,019$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes33c6,999$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.583925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes3c6,824$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.56430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb2…99a3backed No65c6,200$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.612065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa183…a3d8backed No70c6,055$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8321127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e3…9188backed No65c6,052$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.021520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Yes50c6,009$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ad…c163backed Yes2c5,934$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.681921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+165.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9095…96f7backed No41c5,785$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.892972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes44c5,682$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed No75c5,670$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.914436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…0ac6backed No69c5,595$3,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.244470.5%31 W · 13 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xddae…52c4backed Yes5c5,533$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.613218.8%6 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+842%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes3c5,500$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.251031.9%2 W · 101 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed No59c5,294$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.37560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed No57c4,962$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.023666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Yes3c4,468$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes1c4,312$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.56240%0 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes2c4,300$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7581…76e6backed Yes1c4,250$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5160%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3250…108dbacked Yes59c4,087$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7601080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Yes33c4,000$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x472e…812bbacked Yes4c3,995$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9360…03e6backed Yes32c3,963$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c2…8915backed Yes35c3,912$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…d8e7backed Yes42c3,847$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.1911330.1%34 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6294…33f3backed Yes74c3,581$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.796657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x48ff…9f1cbacked Yes3c3,475$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Yes9c3,411$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,297$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.081,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…251ebacked Yes26c3,269$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.2611720.5%24 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71e2…31c4backed No34c3,217$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.114139%16 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85f8…bba3backed Yes65c3,004$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed Yes30c2,991$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.597112.7%9 W · 62 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc1…c26bbacked Yes7c2,931$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3da…c244backed Yes1c2,768$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-79.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…fa4abacked Yes3c2,631$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.84128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes50c2,599$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes1c2,579$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.019824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes36c2,505$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-75.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes38c2,400$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9604…fc1dbacked Yes68c2,366$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.16475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7bf…e441backed No52c2,365$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.191560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1517…5b34backed Yes54c2,246$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.651323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x64ce…944bbacked Yes35c2,199$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes22c2,120$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6413117.6%23 W · 108 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f8…7cbebacked Yes5c2,090$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.19714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d97…d127backed Yes33c2,071$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.153215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7b…7677backed Yes23c2,014$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.294617.4%8 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes26c2,013$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-87.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17a5…2f8abacked Yes61c1,870$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes54c1,856$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ff…0849backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+87.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes28c1,810$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c1,806$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.64590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes18c1,799$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.19466.5%3 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-81.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed Yes31c1,784$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.012638.5%10 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd143…83ecbacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.610221.6%22 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4615…5ccbbacked No56c1,718$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.141376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+78%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cd0…4516backed Yes21c1,709$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+75.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7470…72e1backed No56c1,688$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.356100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5ff…3fcdbacked No44c1,659$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.451513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-72.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.