Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d5b3e1146f2f976b44314f7c8c52684f6f221420e4a6f5d6808340f4c995f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $488,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 60c | 46,640$28,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,617.38 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…f8fdbacked No | 20c | 24,304$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…114cbacked Yes | 41c | 21,908$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,908.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 78c | 19,793$15,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.91 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 37c | 14,993$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.28 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 18c | 14,993$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 49c | 14,425$7,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,042.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 17c | 14,374$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.92 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 39c | 13,358$5,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.79 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 35c | 10,291$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…cc4ebacked No | 67c | 10,000$6,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,695.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…9aebbacked No | 50c | 8,044$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 74c | 7,633$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.25 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 75c | 5,622$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.94 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 9c | 5,120$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.13 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 20c | 4,682$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 52c | 4,202$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.83 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…ad45backed Yes | 44c | 4,091$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.91 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked No | 33c | 3,736$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 55c | 3,643$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.36 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 43c | 3,511$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.96 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 54c | 3,470$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.3 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…419fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,404$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…c428backed Yes | 69c | 3,255$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 3,175$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.57 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 40c | 2,971$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.09 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…ee8dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 51c | 2,937$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.21 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…6dcbbacked Yes | 74c | 2,800$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…ea3abacked Yes | 73c | 2,795$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked Yes | 44c | 2,773$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.79 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,500$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 61c | 2,500$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Yes | 34c | 2,435$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc62…6307backed No | 2c | 2,311$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes | 76c | 2,111$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…7616backed Yes | 72c | 2,100$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 71c | 2,053$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.91 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 6c | 2,024$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…1995backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6484backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…da9fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,868$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…c663backed No | 3c | 1,788$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…b6b8backed Yes | 66c | 1,780$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 6c | 1,776$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 46c | 1,732$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.57 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…ddfebacked Yes | 50c | 1,599$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…386ebacked No | 12c | 1,501$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed No | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…efc1backed Yes | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…0912backed Yes | 47c | 1,499$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 72c | 1,488$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed No | 6c | 1,460$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…b55abacked No | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 16c | 1,400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed No | 10c | 1,349$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 1c | 1,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,283$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked Yes | 39c | 1,283$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Yes | 48c | 1,202$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed No | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,091$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.18 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 7c | 1,036$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…1540backed Yes | 44c | 1,017$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 12c | 1,012$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 47c | 999.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 17c | 999.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 75c | 988$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.7 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed Yes | 36c | 985.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…d586backed No | 18c | 954.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 35c | 941.01$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.29 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 78c | 938.65$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 47c | 898$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.02 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a1…06e5backed Yes | 76c | 835.63$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 51c | 812.48$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.24 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…5e7cbacked No | 19c | 785.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 75c | 670$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc9…e105backed No | 19c | 638.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…cf4bbacked Yes | 66c | 600$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…2392backed Yes | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 67c | 596.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…7175backed Yes | 76c | 593.78$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 2c | 590$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed No | 32c | 558.86$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…122fbacked Yes | 53c | 543.09$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…f183backed No | 20c | 531.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…30b4backed Yes | 75c | 528.87$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeccf…6603backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…b459backed No | 9c | 510.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.