Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e539df5355cdb2ea8340beb000a0c6689957e1bb58f748abd18b4c7485a363a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,064,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,078,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,064,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4c8…cabbbacked Yes | 4c | 69,374$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 7c | 58,632$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.41 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…382bbacked Yes | 6c | 38,717$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.6 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…552cbacked Yes | 0c | 34,995$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.73 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 3c | 28,220$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.68 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,164$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 5c | 12,667$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 21c | 12,558$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.82 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Yes | 3c | 12,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 3c | 9,421$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.66 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 3c | 8,825$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 5c | 7,643$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.88 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7ad6backed Yes | 0c | 7,519$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,436$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 4c | 7,219$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.65 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 76c | 6,522$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.56 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…ea15backed Yes | 8c | 5,928$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 6c | 5,716$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.4 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 11c | 5,610$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.53 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Yes | 4c | 4,804$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…a1ddbacked Yes | 2c | 4,698$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 4,678$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 4,631$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.9 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 6c | 4,477$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.47 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 27c | 4,134$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.02 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 5c | 4,002$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.34 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 11c | 3,807$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.01 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 5c | 3,719$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…72e1backed No | 66c | 3,663$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 1c | 3,607$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 1c | 3,545$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 19c | 3,438$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.77 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 8c | 3,298$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,037$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…c69ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 5c | 2,877$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…6767backed Yes | 36c | 2,827$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…68d1backed Yes | 10c | 2,785$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…6346backed Yes | 9c | 2,783$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 69c | 2,778$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.53 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,420$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…cea7backed Yes | 7c | 2,350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 5c | 2,329$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…c163backed Yes | 3c | 2,283$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,128$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 2c | 2,028$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…7f67backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 5c | 1,940$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…711bbacked No | 61c | 1,855$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…9d5cbacked No | 70c | 1,817$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 32c | 1,814$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.48 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…cd9bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,800$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…ca91backed Yes | 2c | 1,792$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…5e31backed Yes | 4c | 1,696$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b822backed Yes | 3c | 1,680$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed No | 60c | 1,664$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed No | 60c | 1,652$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.77 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…669ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,520$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed Yes | 5c | 1,495$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 4c | 1,291$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed Yes | 7c | 1,249$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 2c | 1,239$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 41c | 1,171$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.16 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…f652backed Yes | 3c | 1,157$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 17c | 1,155$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 1,144$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…24a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,135$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…431dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,058$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5182…0120backed No | 70c | 1,046$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…e920backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 60c | 1,000$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked Yes | 8c | 999.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…dfb5backed Yes | 14c | 999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…ea00backed Yes | 2c | 993.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 9c | 880.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 70c | 853.98$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed No | 80c | 800$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…6397backed Yes | 40c | 745.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 5c | 723.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…9ac6backed Yes | 3c | 716.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…9bfebacked No | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 5c | 687.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed No | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…23c5backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +122%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042f…9266backed Yes | 5c | 595.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 17c | 583.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 579.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…7829backed Yes | 4c | 533.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…0863backed Yes | 5c | 511.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Yes | 39c | 507.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.