TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,064,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,078,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,064,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc4c8…cabbbacked Yes4c69,374$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes7c58,632$4,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,003.4135123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20f7…382bbacked Yes6c38,717$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.6120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739a…552cbacked Yes0c34,995$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.73520%0 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ca…9265backed Yes3c28,220$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.687213.9%10 W · 62 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes1c20,164$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.424754.6%22 W · 453 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+144.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes5c12,667$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.631010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-84.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3822…b720backed Yes21c12,558$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,618.828634.9%30 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Yes3c12,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.6750%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes8c10,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840643.1%2 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-72.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfdd…5585backed Yes3c9,421$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.66195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…e383backed Yes3c8,825$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.18904.4%4 W · 86 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes5c7,643$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.884330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7ad6backed Yes0c7,519$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes1c7,436$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x027e…c97fbacked Yes4c7,219$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.654522.2%10 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked No76c6,522$4,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.5619535.4%69 W · 126 L-13.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e73…ea15backed Yes8c5,928$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.06425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0bf…2032backed Yes6c5,716$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.42619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7820…5723backed Yes11c5,610$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.533514.3%5 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Yes4c4,804$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-72.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c4e…a1ddbacked Yes2c4,698$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c4,678$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.582922.1%6 W · 286 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No79c4,631$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.928113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed Yes6c4,477$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.47120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes27c4,134$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.0258126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes5c4,002$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.341483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes2c4,000$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes11c3,807$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0187828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d6…01f9backed Yes5c3,719$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.59797.6%6 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7470…72e1backed No66c3,663$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.46100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes1c3,607$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.27480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes1c3,545$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes19c3,438$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.7714337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e8…c707backed Yes8c3,298$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.474015%6 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes8c3,037$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.98160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3112…c69ebacked Yes3c2,900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-92.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes5c2,877$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.153324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…6767backed Yes36c2,827$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0101323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe976…68d1backed Yes10c2,785$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.451717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ee…6346backed Yes9c2,783$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…e253backed No69c2,778$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.531283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c2,420$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.364163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57bc…cea7backed Yes7c2,350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535f…9667backed Yes5c2,329$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.69360%0 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ad…c163backed Yes3c2,283$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+165.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes5c2,128$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06dc…4524backed Yes2c2,028$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4616253.7%87 W · 75 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf388…7f67backed Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.941070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c98…ef88backed Yes5c1,940$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ca…711bbacked No61c1,855$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77eb…9d5cbacked No70c1,817$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5342…d243backed Yes32c1,814$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.482425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd834…cd9bbacked Yes10c1,800$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e7…ca91backed Yes2c1,792$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1383…0516backed Yes6c1,700$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022825%7 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+526.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5e31backed Yes4c1,696$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-82.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ffe…b822backed Yes3c1,680$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50210%0 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fdf…28a2backed No60c1,664$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed No60c1,652$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.77887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7a0…669ebacked Yes3c1,520$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick16cpaid-47%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed Yes5c1,495$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7790%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd8…af91backed Yes4c1,400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes4c1,291$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7240%0 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b6…9272backed Yes7c1,249$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.242615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+114%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes2c1,239$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.171024.9%5 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…d142backed Yes4c1,200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2333%1 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce7b…7677backed Yes41c1,171$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.164617.4%8 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…f652backed Yes3c1,157$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes17c1,155$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes3c1,144$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.92270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b01…24a9backed Yes4c1,135$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes2c1,100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7210%0 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…431dbacked Yes3c1,058$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5182…0120backed No70c1,046$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.291573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9095…96f7backed No60c1,000$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3972972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd03b…042bbacked Yes8c999.34$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.973740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d34…dfb5backed Yes14c999$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.86812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x665d…ea00backed Yes2c993.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bef…62a4backed Yes9c880.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753215.6%5 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8d…299cbacked No70c853.98$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.184047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…aa53backed No80c800$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9415…6397backed Yes40c745.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe004…cce7backed Yes5c723.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53510%0 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf66…9ac6backed Yes3c716.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491015.9%6 W · 95 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+121.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd09d…9bfebacked No67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes5c687.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.97368.3%3 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-78.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a99…c413backed No64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…23c5backed Yes34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+122%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x042f…9266backed Yes5c595.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes17c583.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100210%0 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c579.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b43…7829backed Yes4c533.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b9…0863backed Yes5c511.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63180%0 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Yes39c507.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457219.4%14 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes4c499.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51031.9%2 W · 101 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.