TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e47…ecf7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Music, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Music at 61 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT6820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.8
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.4
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,522.9%+$9,291.86
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520.86
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,615Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$1,345
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,086.66
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270.24
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.56
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.51
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.27
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.59
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.29
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.84
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.18
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.69
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.49
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,843.01
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.72
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.19
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$142.2
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.8
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.54
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.2
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.15
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$74.82
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+119%+$32.6
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$438.14
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$324.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.57
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$436
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.26
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+58.5%+$279.39
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+294.7%+$201.6
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$145.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$115
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-62.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$17.82
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.1
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.4
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.4
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$88.5
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick19cpaid+37.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Music — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+375.1%+$157.9
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+41.9%+$124.66
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3250000 and 3500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.11
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2750000 and 3000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.17
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$203
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$171.86
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+246.1%+$322.22
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+153%+$1,235.96
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.44
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+432.9%+$182.77
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$477.62
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,280.99
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$159
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$81
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+222.6%+$27.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$92.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$67.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$179.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$115
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.