TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,120,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,131,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,120,346 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d18…4972backed Yes0c21,761,003$21,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,761395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c4,871,130$4,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.131529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes0c2,996,664$3,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,993.334537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e26…550ebacked Yes0c2,810,763$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c2,237,773$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.7710012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Yes0c2,103,991$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.997342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+75.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes0c2,000,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes0c1,668,846$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,337.699723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…2f73backed Yes0c1,266,345$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes0c1,250,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes0c1,202,381$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.382711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Yes0c1,128,610$3,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes0c1,091,854$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.567238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c1,088,603$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.231705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f5…6b92backed Yes0c1,000,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes0c1,000,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…4f5cbacked Yes0c1,000,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x173e…d5f3backed Yes0c999,068$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f7…3166backed Yes0c999,016$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes0c900,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5b…073bbacked Yes0c852,363$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,735.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4880…7a20backed Yes0c839,720$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c735,431$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.8426330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8630…3709backed Yes0c699,413$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid+138%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c672,184$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.1832629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes0c603,027$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.383737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bf…6e00backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c500,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes0c499,998$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005014%7 W · 43 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-79.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c490,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes0c487,110$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.113710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c463,027$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.03147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked Yes0c300,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe652…f8c3backed Yes0c294,990$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes0c262,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52511025.5%28 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c257,867$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes0c250,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6100…35e2backed Yes0c250,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-80.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbd…4bd9backed Yes0c250,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes0c250,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb7…2ec3backed Yes0c234,235$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.47137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Yes0c222,222$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.224420.5%9 W · 35 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes0c215,070$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.07120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes0c213,317$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.32329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…8174backed Yes0c212,851$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.725226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b46…1263backed Yes0c208,801$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfada…3bd1backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-76.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e2…c1a7backed Yes0c188,183$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.181118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-69.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e2…30acbacked Yes0c181,990$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa06…1e0fbacked Yes0c168,333$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes0c154,814$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.63323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-95.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb37f…50ffbacked Yes0c154,630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc125…f052backed Yes0c151,040$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6270%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c150,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…342bbacked Yes0c150,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe725…2b00backed Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfdb…d762backed Yes0c131,478$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.12130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x720a…6869backed Yes0c110,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yes0c106,780$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.786241.9%26 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x748a…3c56backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb7…f8ebbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b61…9e16backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100170%0 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007524%18 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a57…9299backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d7…94f7backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9719…5965backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-53.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bf…bd58backed Yes0c99,537$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.853531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes0c95,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16535614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddfb…a9d6backed Yes0c92,688$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3880%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Yes0c91,667$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c8…ce87backed Yes0c83,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7733…23f5backed Yes0c81,000$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes0c75,000$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9517340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf6…17e7backed Yes0c75,000$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e6…bb50backed Yes0c75,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes0c72,986$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.971,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c71,927$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.93128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f01…d646backed Yes0c70,480$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.48120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c68,000$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9418510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…ae61backed Yes0c63,530$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66f5…b326backed Yes0c60,187$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04e…5a24backed Yes0c58,333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72bb…281bbacked Yes0c55,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-73.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd6…c0a2backed Yes0c53,869$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.74812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked Yes0c51,545$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.543724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes0c50,670$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.