Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6972edb1b3f8cd8192651a665fc424dff846efe1c4a2376f628d4b20c704144c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,692,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,190,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,692,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,999,993$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.96 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…2f73backed Yes | 1c | 4,047,963$22,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,045.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 1c | 3,370,913$19,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,791.82 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 1c | 3,201,669$16,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,008.35 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 1c | 2,564,229$12,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,981.47 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 2,497,631$10,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,610.98 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…06dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,899,879$13,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,299.15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 1,654,970$9,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,295.91 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 1c | 1,500,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,150,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 1c | 949,902$7,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.31 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…15f9backed Yes | 1c | 854,729$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.97 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 1c | 830,455$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,643.89 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…8edfbacked Yes | 1c | 758,254$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.27 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…6621backed Yes | 0c | 756,092$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.37 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Yes | 1c | 750,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…4cdbbacked Yes | 1c | 728,739$5,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…0fa2backed Yes | 1c | 728,571$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 1c | 651,210$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.48 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…a537backed Yes | 1c | 617,518$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.62 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Yes | 1c | 600,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 1c | 589,218$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.79 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes | 1c | 571,753$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.45 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 1c | 546,543$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Yes | 0c | 531,501$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…8d70backed Yes | 1c | 530,695$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.47 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 0c | 511,517$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.78 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 1c | 500,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 489,068$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.59 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 0c | 418,000$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.7 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 1c | 416,000$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 403,489$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.31 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 399,038$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.27 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…72aebacked Yes | 0c | 384,316$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.77 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…45acbacked Yes | 0c | 367,000$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 1c | 327,499$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.9 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Yes | 1c | 307,522$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.13 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 1c | 299,981$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.89 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked Yes | 1c | 294,485$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Yes | 1c | 285,283$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.98 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 0c | 252,180$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.9 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.05 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 1c | 250,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 1c | 250,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 1c | 225,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 223,238$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 1c | 218,000$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 0c | 215,507$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.03 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 1c | 210,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…d069backed Yes | 1c | 202,002$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…98a7backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 199,998$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf941…1be7backed Yes | 1c | 187,972$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…b956backed Yes | 1c | 178,580$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.06 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 1c | 167,695$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 0c | 166,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 1c | 166,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Yes | 1c | 161,642$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.76 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 1c | 155,230$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.67 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 1c | 152,603$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 1c | 151,183$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…d79ebacked Yes | 1c | 147,286$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…ee33backed Yes | 1c | 143,000$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 1c | 142,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 1c | 142,000$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 1c | 134,446$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.35 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…71d6backed Yes | 1c | 133,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 1c | 132,547$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.6 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 1c | 130,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Yes | 1c | 128,945$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.67 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…73ddbacked Yes | 1c | 125,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 1c | 124,562$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.07 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 1c | 121,429$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 0c | 120,396$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.58 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 1c | 120,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…64b7backed Yes | 1c | 118,974$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…a4fcbacked Yes | 1c | 108,773$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 1c | 108,359$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.87 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 0c | 108,343$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Yes | 1c | 108,008$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 1c | 106,250$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 1c | 101,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…062abacked Yes | 1c | 100,305$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.13 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa154…321cbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 1c | 99,999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 1c | 97,780$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.46 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…c990backed Yes | 1c | 90,500$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 1c | 90,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.