TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89fc…b5c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
236
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 68 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 68 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6113.1%8 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$7,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,199.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$9,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+679.2%+$62,349.05
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,248.31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,873.81
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,542
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$8,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,343.24
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,521.45
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$6,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,019.5
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,579.64
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,513.99
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,654.66
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,974.33
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.87
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134.86
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.43
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.67
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$823
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,428
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.19
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,273.92
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.53
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,248.23
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick14cpaid+72.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.2
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+751.1%+$882.5
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.62
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$435
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+207%+$404.54
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
US military action against Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$246
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+1,775%+$1,703.97
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+246.9%+$219.81
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+381.9%+$634
Trump transgender sports ban?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$94.23
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$163.18
Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$38.1
Will Trump nominate Robert Lighthizer for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$14.25
Will Trump nominate Marc Rowan for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$25.8
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$96
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$45.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030.04
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+538.8%+$28,558.55
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,995.72
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,363.96
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,742.32
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,506.45
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.67
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.19
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.24
Will Boca Juniors vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$385
Will Boca Juniors beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.99
Will Palmeiras vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$200
Will FC Porto beat Palmeiras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.52
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+257.3%+$1,001.27
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.48
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.1
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$409.03
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$563.63
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.02
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+8.3wins+0.31per pick28cpaid+105.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+119.3%+$272
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+165.5%+$374
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$171
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+190.8%+$328.38
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$204
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+442.6%+$571
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$204
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$139
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.83
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+84%+$68.5
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$154
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+483%+$1,159.86
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+122.2%+$120.13
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+51.6%+$186.95
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+271.9%+$329
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$39.73
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+900%+$1,800
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$501.69
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+525%+$840
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,869.99
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.94
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.4
Will Getafe be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,647.64
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$2,603.84
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.85
Will Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$299.99
Will Espanyol beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Will Barcelona beat Espanyol?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.99
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,129.21
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+202.6%+$1,599.58
Will Real Madrid beat Mallorca?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.99
Will Mallorca beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.86
Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$618.9
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,177.43
Will Celta Vigo beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Barcelona beat Valladolid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.2
Will Valladolid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.79
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+323.9%+$698.07
Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$5,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,054.15
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$4,320.13
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.5
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,198.8
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.13
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.94
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85.85
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$128.47
Will Chelsea qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$217
Will Manchester United qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-69.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.11
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+220.3%+$3,247.76
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.06
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.14
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.42
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.79
Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$690.11
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.65
Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.15
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.55
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.62
Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.53
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$486.82
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.93
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.76
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.57
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+409.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78.21
DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$111.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.53
New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.